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Thread: Am I Going to Win?

  1. #1
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    Default Am I Going to Win?

    I know it doesn't look good. But is it THAT bad? If I gave you 2-1 odds, would you bet $10 on my winning my playoff pool?


    My team: 115 points
    His team: 115 points

    I'm first due to tiebreaker (79 goals to 42 goals - winning by a mile)

    I have: Malkin, Hornqvist
    He has: Letang, Burns, Thornton, Pavelski
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    15-Team Keeper, points only, best 12 fwd, 4 dman, 2 G count. Playoffs count.

    F - T. Thompson, Thomas, Nylander, Tarasenko, Arvidsson, Guentzel, Fiala, Quinn, Mittelstadt, Hagel, Zacha, Roslovic, Berggren, Brink, Ostlund
    G - Kahkonen, Vejmelka, L. Thompson, Levi, Comrie
    D - Hronek, Morrissey, Lundkvist, Girard, Brannstrom, Rathbone, Hanifin, Severson, Durzi

  2. #2
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    Default Re: Am I Going to Win?

    Based on the series so far, I'd say you are in good shape. SJ's top 4 aren't scoring in the final and with possibly one game left in the final, I like your chances.

    But I've been wrong before .......
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  3. #3
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    Default Re: Am I Going to Win?

    With 2-1 odds, I would bet $10 on you winning the pool.

  4. #4
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    Default Re: Am I Going to Win?

    I'd put you at 51% chances of winning so yes I'd take 2-1.

    I like the Penguins to close it out in 5 at home and think you have a decent shot of tying him in points the rest of the way.

    Out of curiosity what were the numbers going into the Finals?
    12 team H-2-H 1 year league, daily roster changes, 3 goalie start minimum/week
    2xC, 2xRW, 2xLW, 4xD, 3xUtil, 2xG, 5 Bench
    G, A, P, PIM, PPP, SHP, GWG, SOG, Hits, W, SV%, GAA, SVs
    C: C. Keller, C. Mittelstadt, B. Nelson, R. Strome,
    LW: K. Connor, B. Tkachuk, J. Gaudreau, J. Marchessault, E. Rodrigues, A. Lafreniere
    RW: K. Fiala, J. Bratt, T. Jeannot V. Arvidsson
    D: R. Josi, J. Trouba, E. Gustafsson,
    G: L. Thompson, F. Gustavsson, V. Vanecek
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  5. #5
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    Default Re: Am I Going to Win?

    Letang is the problem here... I like your chances but I would not bet on it

    Good luck Dobber!
    Keeper league 14 teams (H2H, 20 active players keep 16 NHLers, 16 minors)
    Scoring Cats: G-A-PTS-PPG-PPA-(+/-)-HITS-BLK-SHP-SOG-FOW-GWG / W-L-SVS-SV%-GAA-SO

    C- Crosby, Barzal, Bennett, Schmaltz, Novak
    W- Forsberg, Batherson, Nichuskin, Tuch, Konecny, Maccelli, Sharangovich, Bertuzzi, Kaliyev, Neighbours, Reichel
    D- Carlson, Rielly, Klingberg
    G- Hellebuyck, Demko, Merzlikins, Vejmelka

    Minors:
    F: Fantilli, Cooley, Bourgault, Perreault, Cowan, Ohgren, N. Foote, Goyette, Iskhakov, Denisenko, Tracey
    D: Simashev, Willander, Lambos
    G: Schmidt, Rodrigue, DiPietro, Gaudreau, McKay

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    Default Re: Am I Going to Win?

    Letang should be close to equal with Malkin and Hornqvist, so if SJ gets one or two PP goals, then it's a no. If this goes more than 5 games (meaning SJ wins at least 1) the I would say no because it probably means they got 3+ goals.
    Would I take 2:1 odds and bet $10 on it? Yes. Mainly because it's tied, and you have the tie breaker. Would I bet $100 or $1000 dollars on it, probably not. With so many ways it could swing towards the SJ set, I think your 2:1 odds are probably a pretty good estimate.
    Like Bass said, good luck!
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    Default Re: Am I Going to Win?

    Quote Originally Posted by LawMan View Post
    I'd put you at 51% chances of winning so yes I'd take 2-1.

    I like the Penguins to close it out in 5 at home and think you have a decent shot of tying him in points the rest of the way.

    Out of curiosity what were the numbers going into the Finals?
    Thanks guys!

    I believe I was up by two entering the Final series, but not certain
    The Best Fantasy Hockey Site

    15-Team Keeper, points only, best 12 fwd, 4 dman, 2 G count. Playoffs count.

    F - T. Thompson, Thomas, Nylander, Tarasenko, Arvidsson, Guentzel, Fiala, Quinn, Mittelstadt, Hagel, Zacha, Roslovic, Berggren, Brink, Ostlund
    G - Kahkonen, Vejmelka, L. Thompson, Levi, Comrie
    D - Hronek, Morrissey, Lundkvist, Girard, Brannstrom, Rathbone, Hanifin, Severson, Durzi

  8. #8
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    Default Re: Am I Going to Win?

    I'm too lazy to do the math...did you win Dobber?

  9. #9
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    Default Re: Am I Going to Win?

    Quote Originally Posted by chuckcouples View Post
    I'm too lazy to do the math...did you win Dobber?
    I think he lost something like 122-117
    Keeper league 14 teams (H2H, 20 active players keep 16 NHLers, 16 minors)
    Scoring Cats: G-A-PTS-PPG-PPA-(+/-)-HITS-BLK-SHP-SOG-FOW-GWG / W-L-SVS-SV%-GAA-SO

    C- Crosby, Barzal, Bennett, Schmaltz, Novak
    W- Forsberg, Batherson, Nichuskin, Tuch, Konecny, Maccelli, Sharangovich, Bertuzzi, Kaliyev, Neighbours, Reichel
    D- Carlson, Rielly, Klingberg
    G- Hellebuyck, Demko, Merzlikins, Vejmelka

    Minors:
    F: Fantilli, Cooley, Bourgault, Perreault, Cowan, Ohgren, N. Foote, Goyette, Iskhakov, Denisenko, Tracey
    D: Simashev, Willander, Lambos
    G: Schmidt, Rodrigue, DiPietro, Gaudreau, McKay

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    Default Re: Am I Going to Win?

    Quote Originally Posted by Bass56 View Post
    I think he lost something like 122-117
    121-117



    Malkin to Hornqvist in the final minute of Game 5 must have happened about 10 times, but couldn't put it home. So many near misses. Remember that Kunitz open net and he decided to pass back to Malkin? lol stuff like that... so I win $100 for second instead of $250 for first. Damn!
    The Best Fantasy Hockey Site

    15-Team Keeper, points only, best 12 fwd, 4 dman, 2 G count. Playoffs count.

    F - T. Thompson, Thomas, Nylander, Tarasenko, Arvidsson, Guentzel, Fiala, Quinn, Mittelstadt, Hagel, Zacha, Roslovic, Berggren, Brink, Ostlund
    G - Kahkonen, Vejmelka, L. Thompson, Levi, Comrie
    D - Hronek, Morrissey, Lundkvist, Girard, Brannstrom, Rathbone, Hanifin, Severson, Durzi

  11. #11
    Bass56's Avatar
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    Default Re: Am I Going to Win?

    Quote Originally Posted by Dobber View Post
    121-117
    ... so I win $100 for second instead of $250 for first. Damn!
    Ya tough luck with missing out on some points and having other fluke ones going the other way...

    Well at least you're in the money!! Congrats

    Keeper league 14 teams (H2H, 20 active players keep 16 NHLers, 16 minors)
    Scoring Cats: G-A-PTS-PPG-PPA-(+/-)-HITS-BLK-SHP-SOG-FOW-GWG / W-L-SVS-SV%-GAA-SO

    C- Crosby, Barzal, Bennett, Schmaltz, Novak
    W- Forsberg, Batherson, Nichuskin, Tuch, Konecny, Maccelli, Sharangovich, Bertuzzi, Kaliyev, Neighbours, Reichel
    D- Carlson, Rielly, Klingberg
    G- Hellebuyck, Demko, Merzlikins, Vejmelka

    Minors:
    F: Fantilli, Cooley, Bourgault, Perreault, Cowan, Ohgren, N. Foote, Goyette, Iskhakov, Denisenko, Tracey
    D: Simashev, Willander, Lambos
    G: Schmidt, Rodrigue, DiPietro, Gaudreau, McKay

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