Re: Thoughts on owning linemates
I am on the “put no stock in linemates” side of things. If everything else was dead equal I’d likely pick against the line mates simply because my league is daily starts and I know teammates will always play the same night whereas non-teammates have fewer conflicts.
Originally Posted by
rataylor22
FWIW, look at it this way. Say you consider Gaudreau and Perry approximately equal (points only). At the end of the season, they probably finish with around the same points. In H2H, Last night, with a Getz-Perry combo you get 9 points. With a Getz-Gaudreau combo, you get 5. The 9 points is more likely to win you your week than the 5 points will. Next week, Gaudreau could get 4 points and Getz and Perry could each get 1. With a Getz-Perry combo, you only get 2 points. With a Getz-Gaudreau combo, you only get 5 points. Neither is likely enough to win your week. So after 2 weeks, with Getz-Perry, you're 1-1. With Getz-Gaudreau, you're 0-2. Reasons why combos are more valuable in H2H formats. Your stars slump and boom at the same time. Where as if you have 2 equal level players that aren't linemates, their slumps can offset weeks and lose you more weeks than the combo would.
This whole theory is based upon the assumption that a high correlation of points between 2 players will cause you to win more weeks than you lose, I don’t see how you can make this argument. You argument states that you’d go 0-2 without the combo and go 1-1 with it but without evidence it seems equally likely you can go 2-0 with the combo. Having line mates, who presumably produce together, will increase your swings, which should draw your head-to-head record more to the middle as it creates big wins in some weeks and big losses in others. Whereas the non-combo creates a steadier flow of points but not huge wins and thus a lot of close scoreboards. The result: if the rest of your team is better than average I would suggest you’ll do better without the combo because you win more close games than you lose, if the rest of your team is below average you will do better with the combo as you’ll need their big weeks to secure victories and suck it up and take the hit on their cold weeks.
12 team H-2-H 1 year league, daily roster changes, 3 goalie start minimum/week
2xC, 2xRW, 2xLW, 4xD, 3xUtil, 2xG, 5 Bench
G, A, P, PIM, PPP, SHP, GWG, SOG, Hits, W, SV%, GAA, SVs
C: C. Keller, C. Mittelstadt, B. Nelson, R. Strome,
LW: K. Connor, B. Tkachuk, J. Gaudreau, J. Marchessault, E. Rodrigues, A. Lafreniere
RW: K. Fiala, J. Bratt, T. Jeannot V. Arvidsson
D: R. Josi, J. Trouba, E. Gustafsson,
G: L. Thompson, F. Gustavsson, V. Vanecek
NO IR