2014/2015 Dobber ENTRY (Tier III) Norris Division

[Pengwin7]

Round 8
2. Andrew Ladd (Wpg - LW) Password is ...
3. Jeff Carter (LA - C,RW) The Nickel City
4. Torey Krug (Bos - D) Leaf Nation
5. Ryan Suter (Min - D) Dead Things
6. Niklas Kronwall (Det - D) SuluShattenk...
7. Brandon Dubinsky (Cls - C,LW) Vancouver Be...
8. Brent Seabrook (Chi - D) Canuckleheads
9. Mike Green (Was - D) Laendarian
10. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (Edm - C) Phil The Thrill
11. Tyson Barrie (Col - D) kluu
12. Kyle Turris (Ott - C) Hartnell Gone
13. James Wisniewski (Cls - D) BC Oiler
14. John Carlson (Was - D) StaveOffElim...
15. Craig Anderson (Ott - G) Kofax
16. Mats Zuccarello (NYR - LW) Habs7079

Favourite Pick: The offensive talent drops off quite a bit around this round, which makes the built-in hits with Brandon Dubinsky (VB) a very nice snag.
Least fave pick: Torey Krug. I like Krug as an NHL player, but he doesn't hit (50 in 79 games last year). Gotta get more Hits with each D, IMO.

[jcairns]

Round 8
2. Andrew Ladd (Wpg - LW) Password is ...
3. Jeff Carter (LA - C,RW) The Nickel City
4. Torey Krug (Bos - D) Leaf Nation
5. Ryan Suter (Min - D) Dead Things
6. Niklas Kronwall (Det - D) SuluShattenk...
7. Brandon Dubinsky (Cls - C,LW) Vancouver Be...
8. Brent Seabrook (Chi - D) Canuckleheads
9. Mike Green (Was - D) Laendarian
10. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (Edm - C) Phil The Thrill
11. Tyson Barrie (Col - D) kluu
12. Kyle Turris (Ott - C) Hartnell Gone
13. James Wisniewski (Cls - D) BC Oiler
14. John Carlson (Was - D) StaveOffElim...
15. Craig Anderson (Ott - G) Kofax
16. Mats Zuccarello (NYR - LW) Habs7079

Favourite Pick: The offensive talent drops off quite a bit around this round, which makes the built-in hits with Brandon Dubinsky (VB) a very nice snag.
Least fave pick: Torey Krug. I like Krug as an NHL player, but he doesn't hit (50 in 79 games last year). Gotta get more Hits with each D, IMO.

Finally, I had one of your favorite picks! Just glad that has come before any of your least favorite.

[Pengwin7]

Round 9
1. Gustav Nyquist (Det - C,RW) Habs7079
2. Dustin Brown (LA - LW,RW) Kofax
3. Jack Johnson (Cls - D) StaveOffElim...
4. Brandon Saad (Chi - LW,RW) BC Oiler
5. Cam Fowler (Anh - D) Hartnell Gone
6. Bryan Little (Wpg - C,RW) kluu
7. Jaromir Jagr (NJ - RW) Phil The Thrill
8. Alexander Semin (Car - LW,RW) Laendarian
9. Christian Ehrhoff (Pit - D) Canuckleheads
10. Ryan Callahan (TB - RW) Vancouver Be...
11. Matt Niskanen (Was - D) SuluShattenk...
12. Paul Stastny (StL - C) Dead Things
13. Loui Eriksson (Bos - LW,RW) Leaf Nation
14. Brad Marchand (Bos - LW) The Nickel City
15. Alex Goligoski (Dal - D) Password is ...

Favourite Pick: Towards the 10th-15th rounds, finding PPP gets tougher... but it must be your focus because it's the first thing to run out. For that reason, love Paul Stastny (Dead Things).
Least fave pick: Dustin Brown. Yes, still a big hitter, but Hits are easy, later. Drafting a 40pt forward with 5 PPP at this part of the draft isn't something I think is wise.

[Pengwin7]

Round 10
2. Brad Richards (Chi - C,LW) Password is ...
3. David Perron (Edm - LW,RW) The Nickel City
4. Jacob Trouba (Wpg - D) Leaf Nation
5. Derick Brassard (NYR - C) Dead Things
6. Dan Boyle (NYR - D) SuluShattenk...
7. Jaden Schwartz (StL - LW) Vancouver Be...
8. Darcy Kuemper (Min - G) Canuckleheads
9. Chris Kreider (NYR - LW) Laendarian
10. Valtteri Filppula (TB - C,LW) Phil The Thrill
11. Clarke MacArthur (Ott - LW) kluu
12. Tomas Hertl (SJ - LW) Hartnell Gone
13. Mikael Granlund (Min - C) BC Oiler
14. Troy Brouwer (Was - RW) StaveOffElim...
15. Brayden Schenn (Phi - C,LW) Kofax
16. Shane Doan (Ari - LW,RW) Habs7079

Favourite Pick: Troy Brouwer (SoE). What? Pengwin, you just bashed Dustin Brown. Same type of player! Well, no, look at Brouwer's PPP... plus, as a RW, at some point he may wing with OV(LW)-Backstrom(C).
Least fave pick: Trouba. I get the hype, but until he's on WPG's PP1... the keeper-aspect-value is pushing this pick a little too soon for a one-year league.

[Pengwin7]

Round 11
1. Derek Stepan (NYR - C) Habs7079
2. Patrik Elias (NJ - C,LW) Kofax
3. Alexander Edler (Van - D) StaveOffElim...
4. Dougie Hamilton (Bos - D) BC Oiler
5. Matt Read (Phi - RW) Hartnell Gone
6. Martin Hanzal (Ari - C) kluu
7. Cody Franson (Tor - D) Phil The Thrill
8. Joffrey Lupul (Tor - LW,RW) Laendarian
9. Nazem Kadri (Tor - C) Canuckleheads
10. Erik Johnson (Col - D) Vancouver Be...
11. Jonathan Drouin (TB - LW) SuluShattenk...
12. Evgeny Kuznetsov (Was - C,LW) Dead Things
13. Valeri Nichushkin (Dal - RW) Leaf Nation
14. Mikko Koivu (Min - C) The Nickel City
15. Andrei Markov (Mon - D) Password is ...

Favourite Pick(s): Another round with a lot I like, Stepan, Elias, Koivu, Markov. Beauty picks.
Least Fave Pick: Kuznetsov. This is more keeper-value sway here. C2 in Washington. If he's not on line 1 & PP1, he doesn't belong this high.

[Pengwin7]

Round 12
2. Mark Streit (Phi - D) Password is ...
3. Mike Ribeiro (Nsh - C) The Nickel City
4. Tyler Bozak (Tor - C) Leaf Nation
5. Vladimir Tarasenko (StL - RW) Dead Things
6. Johan Franzen (Det - LW,RW) SuluShattenk...
7. Craig Smith (Nsh - C,RW) Vancouver Be...
8. Jake Gardiner (Tor - D) Canuckleheads
9. Anton Khudobin (Car - G) Laendarian
10. Ondrej Pavelec (Wpg - G) Phil The Thrill
11. Radko Gudas (TB - D) kluu
12. Jason Garrison (TB - D) Hartnell Gone
13. Nail Yakupov (Edm - RW) BC Oiler
14. Jake Muzzin (LA - D) StaveOffElim...
15. Mike Richards (LA - C,LW) Kofax
16. Eric Gelinas (NJ - D) Habs7079

Favourite Pick: Tarasenko (Dead Things). Oh, the potential. I'm buying it.
Least fave pick: Gudas. With Garrison brought in, Gudas won't get the PP or points from last year. He's basically a HITS machine. Not enough value for Round 12.

[Pengwin7]

Round 13
1. Jake Allen (StL - G) Habs7079
2. Slava Voynov (LA - D) Kofax
3. Justin Williams (LA - RW) StaveOffElim...
4. Nino Niederreiter (Min - RW) BC Oiler
5. Cam Ward (Car - G) Hartnell Gone
6. Roman Josi (Nsh - D) kluu
7. John Gibson (Anh - G) Phil The Thrill
8. Alex Galchenyuk (Mon - C,LW) Laendarian
9. Michael Cammalleri (NJ - C,LW) Canuckleheads
10. Tommy Wingels (SJ - RW) Vancouver Be...
11. P.A. Parenteau (Mon - RW) SuluShattenk...
12. Matt Moulson (Buf - LW) Dead Things
13. Jay Bouwmeester (StL - D) Leaf Nation
14. Pascal Dupuis (Pit - LW,RW) The Nickel City
15. Tyler Johnson (TB - C) Password is ...

Favourite Pick: IF Pascal Dupuis (Nickel City) can be like ol' Pascal Dupuis (top 50 skater in 12-13), then this pick takes the cake. It could also crash & burn depending on PIT lines.
Least fave pick: Matt Moulson. If he wasn't on Buffalo (say "BIG MINUS"), I'd be fine with this. But Moulson thrives with an elite passer. And he doesn't HIT. He needs 55pts and 20 PPP to be average value here if -15 with 40 hits.

[Pengwin7]

Round 14
2. Jonathan Huberdeau (Fla - C,LW) Password is ...
3. Carl Soderberg (Bos - C,LW) The Nickel City
4. Mark Scheifele (Wpg - C) Leaf Nation
5. Seth Jones (Nsh - D) Dead Things
6. Brian Campbell (Fla - D) SuluShattenk...
7. Nick Foligno (Cls - LW) Vancouver Be...
8. Ales Hemsky (Dal - RW) Canuckleheads
9. Brendan Gallagher (Mon - RW) Laendarian
10. Cody Hodgson (Buf - C,RW) Phil The Thrill
11. Niklas Backstrom (Min - G) kluu
12. Justin Schultz (Edm - D) Hartnell Gone
13. Tomas Tatar (Det - LW) BC Oiler
14. Johnny Boychuk (Bos - D) StaveOffElim...
15. Tomas Plekanec (Mon - C) Kofax
16. Ben Scrivens (Edm - G) Habs7079

Favourite pick(s): tie. Scheifele, Hemsky, Scrivens. I think these are all beautiful picks at this round.
Least fave picks: Seth Jones. Another great future player who simply won't have enough opportunity to put up great stats this year. (and we have to remember that sometimes ADP is skewed by Keeper Drafts.)

[m_w_fisher]

Yikes, I got a lot of least favourite picks here... Didn't know Mantha had a broken leg until after I drafted him either, so sure I'm up for another one as well, ha ha.

[m_w_fisher]

*at least* another one.

[Pengwin7]

*at least* another one.

You have a nice keeper league team!

[clo-clo]

Posted this in the other thread, but this was by far the most difficult draft I've taken part in, due in part to my 3-year old refusing to go to sleep between 8-10pm! That led to a few forced picks, most notably Burns instead of Skinner, Eberle, or Steen (Round 6).

Great analysis Pengwin, thanks for taking the time.

Should be a fun season, good luck to everyone!

The Nickel City

[Pengwin7]

Round 15
1. Justin Faulk (Car - D) Habs7079
2. Marek Zidlicky (NJ - D) Kofax
3. Kevin Bieksa (Van - D) StaveOffElim...
4. Jason Demers (SJ - D) BC Oiler
5. Andrej Sekera (Car - D) Hartnell Gone
6. Alex Stalock (SJ - G) kluu
7. Chris Stewart (Buf - RW) Phil The Thrill
8. Tyler Toffoli (LA - RW) Laendarian
9. Cam Atkinson (Cls - RW) Canuckleheads
10. Zach Bogosian (Wpg - D) Vancouver Be...
11. Carl Hagelin (NYR - LW) SuluShattenk...
12. Morgan Rielly (Tor - D) Dead Things
13. Michael Del Zotto (Phi - D) Leaf Nation
14. Andrew Shaw (Chi - C) The Nickel City
15. Steve Downie (Pit - LW,RW) Password is ...

Favourite pick: Marek Zidlicky (Kofax). Unsexy, but a very solid pick here. That's my goal in the 15th-20th rounds. Solid picks.
Least fave pick: Steve Downie. I just don't see him riding top two lines. And if you ain't top two lines in PIT, you ain't spit.

[Pengwin7]

Round 16
2. Reilly Smith (Bos - RW) Password is ...
3. Tobias Enstrom (Wpg - D) The Nickel City
4. Dany Heatley (Anh - LW,RW) Leaf Nation
5. Vincent Lecavalier (Phi - C,LW) Dead Things
6. Nathan Horton (Cls - RW) SuluShattenk...
7. Anders Lee (NYI - C) Vancouver Be...
8. Mikkel Boedker (Ari - LW) Canuckleheads
9. Dan Girardi (NYR - D) Laendarian
10. Mikhail Grabovski (NYI - C,RW) Phil The Thrill
11. Hampus Lindholm (Anh - D) kluu
12. Olli Maatta (Pit - D) Hartnell Gone
13. Nick Bjugstad (Fla - C) BC Oiler
14. Tyler Ennis (Buf - C,LW) StaveOffElim...
15. Jiri Hudler (Cgy - LW,RW) Kofax
16. Jussi Jokinen (Fla - C,LW) Habs7079

Favourite Pick: Ennis (SoE) doesn't hit and he could be a big minus, but there's also almost no forwards left that could sniff 20 PPP and 200+ SOG.
Least fave pick: Lecavalier. Once the bigger players start declining, I jump off that train fast.

[Pengwin7]

Round 17
1. Dennis Wideman (Cgy - D) Habs7079
2. Sam Gagner (Ari - C,RW) Kofax
3. Nick Bonino (Van - C) StaveOffElim...
4. Johnny Gaudreau (Cgy - LW) BC Oiler
5. Adam Henrique (NJ - C) Hartnell Gone
6. Jakob Silfverberg (Anh - LW,RW) kluu
7. Frans Nielsen (NYI - C) Phil The Thrill
8. Charlie Coyle (Min - C,RW) Laendarian
9. Matt Martin (NYI - LW) Canuckleheads
10. Olli Jokinen (Nsh - C) Vancouver Be...
11. Sean Monahan (Cgy - C) SuluShattenk...
12. Tyler Myers (Buf - D) Dead Things
13. Nick Leddy (Chi - D) Leaf Nation
14. Andy Greene (NJ - D) The Nickel City
15. Martin Jones (LA - G) Password is ...

Favourite pick: Matt Martin (Canuckle). Martin is a one-trick pony, I know... but what a trick it is. As soon as the skater pool is only 10-12 PPP range, Martin's capacity to fully stock a whole cat (Hits) is perfect timing.
Least fave pick: Andy Greene. Greene almost always has a two-week spell where he's getting PP time. Beyond that, he doesn't hit - which you should get from any D choice.