Rob Vollman's Historical Point Projections

[j_diddy]

Hey all,

Just curious if anyone else has picked this up and has any takeaways from it so far.

My initial thought is that it might be used to help predict some decent to significant point total jumps for players with a large gap between their base projection and best case scenario, ie. Blake Wheeler. Now, obviously there are a ton of other factors that come into play, and i'm not expecting Wheeler to be even a 90+ point player, but maybe he takes the next step and becomes a point per game player.

At the very least, I can see using the point gap between the base projection and the best case scenario as just an extra piece of info when trying to select between players in a draft or when making a trade and weighing out the upside of each player.

Thoughts? any other takeaways from the projections?

[j_diddy]

from reading the ramblings, its seems some more people have taken a look at the projections...

any thoughts or takeaways as to how you are going to use the info?

[doulos]

I've read some of is work in other places, and follow him on Twitter, so I get those updates as well, but have not read his new book, so can't help you there.

However, there does appear to be the potential for some use, but I dont know to what degree (again because I have not read his book).

For example, he sent out a couple tweets yesterday regarding Penner and Setoguchi.

Rob Vollman ‏@robvollmanNHL
Setoguchi's closest historical matches (Rota, Miettinen, Osborne) suggest up to 20 G, 45 pts over 82 games.

Rob Vollman ‏@robvollmanNHL
Penner's list of closest historical comparable's not promising. Max of 13 G, 31 PTS in 82 GP

[vitun-tyhmä]

I've read some of is work in other places, and follow him on Twitter, so I get those updates as well, but have not read his new book, so can't help you there.

However, there does appear to be the potential for some use, but I dont know to what degree (again because I have not read his book).

For example, he sent out a couple tweets yesterday regarding Penner and Setoguchi.

Rob Vollman ‏@robvollmanNHL
Setoguchi's closest historical matches (Rota, Miettinen, Osborne) suggest up to 20 G, 45 pts over 82 games.

Rob Vollman ‏@robvollmanNHL
Penner's list of closest historical comparable's not promising. Max of 13 G, 31 PTS in 82 GP

Saying Penner's future is not promising is sort of like saying that ice is cold though

[Dobber]

I've read some of is work in other places, and follow him on Twitter, so I get those updates as well, but have not read his new book, so can't help you there.

However, there does appear to be the potential for some use, but I dont know to what degree (again because I have not read his book).

For example, he sent out a couple tweets yesterday regarding Penner and Setoguchi.

Rob Vollman ‏@robvollmanNHL
Setoguchi's closest historical matches (Rota, Miettinen, Osborne) suggest up to 20 G, 45 pts over 82 games.

Rob Vollman ‏@robvollmanNHL
Penner's list of closest historical comparable's not promising. Max of 13 G, 31 PTS in 82 GP

This thread is not about a new book, it is about this new production:
http://www.dobbersports.com/dobbersp...ojections.html

Take a look - there is a sample sheet. Just another projection perspective

[doulos]

My understanding is that it was also a part of his new book as well. I could be wrong.