Rocky Horror Roto Show 2014/15

[horrorfan]

Nice write up above, Pengwin.

A reminder of the settings:

Yahoo, One year Roto, Daily lineups
No max moves/82 max games per positional slot
G,A,+/-,PIM,PPP,SOG,FOW,Hits,Blocks,W,GAA,SV,SV%
3C,3L,3R,5D,2G,5BN,2IR

Here's my team:

C: Ribeiro, Hanzal, Zajac, Scheifele
L: Duchene, Zetterberg, Ryan, M. Richards
R: Giroux, Brouwer, Pominville, Clarkson
D: Chara, E. Johnson, Hamonic, Girardi, Bogosian
G: Bobrovsky, Miller, Hiller, Ramo

[Chili con Carne]

My team - not sure how I feel about it yet!

C: E. Staal, Stepan, Koivu
LW: D. Sedin, MacArthur, Elias
RW: Malkin, Vrbata, Franzen, Yakupov, Stewart
D: Weber, Wisniewski, Goligoski, Krug, Josi, R. Murphy
G: Lehtonen, Elliott, Greiss, Emery

[temek]

Colour code:
Red: Goalies
Blue: Wing-Eligible Centers (FOW)
Green: Defensemen
BOLD: Rookies

Round 1

1 Sidney Crosby (Pit - C) Fransonstein
2 Alex Ovechkin (Was - RW) Duchenesaw Massacre
3 Claude Giroux (Phi - C,RW) Ichi the Hiller
4 Evgeni Malkin (Pit - C,RW) Ogie Ogre-thorpe
5 Steven Stamkos (TB - C) BranStamkers Backula
6 Tuukka Rask (Bos - G) Recchident Evil
7 Henrik Lundqvist (NYR - G) Briere Witch Project
8 Jonathan Quick (LA - G) The Kane Chronicles
9 John Tavares (NYI - C) House of 1000 Corvos
10 Jamie Benn (Dal - LW) Natural Born Quiller
11 Corey Perry (Anh - RW) Nightmare on Helm St
12 Carey Price (Mon - G) Carey on Screaming!

Round 2

13 Ryan Getzlaf (Anh - C) Carey on Screaming!
14 Semyon Varlamov (Col - G) Nightmare on Helm St
15 P.K. Subban (Mon - D) Natural Born Quiller
16 Tyler Seguin (Dal - C,RW) House of 1000 Corvos
17 Erik Karlsson (Ott - D) The Kane Chronicles
18 Cory Schneider (NJ - G) Briere Witch Project
19 Logan Couture (SJ - C,LW) Recchident Evil
20 Nicklas Backstrom (Was - C) BranStamkers Backula
21 Shea Weber (Nsh - D) Ogie Ogre-thorpe
22 Matt Duchene (Col - C,LW) Ichi the Hiller
23 Ben Bishop (TB - G) Duchenesaw Massacre
24 Joe Pavelski (SJ - C,LW) Fransonstein

Round 3

25 Phil Kessel (Tor - RW) Fransonstein
26 David Backes (StL - C,RW) Duchenesaw Massacre
27 Sergei Bobrovsky (Cls - G) Ichi the Hiller
28 Kari Lehtonen (Dal - G) Ogie Ogre-thorpe
29 Anze Kopitar (LA - C) BranStamkers Backula
30 Dustin Byfuglien (Wpg - RW,D) Recchident Evil
31 Jonathan Toews (Chi - C) Briere Witch Project
32 Taylor Hall (Edm - C,LW) The Kane Chronicles
33 Marc-Andre Fleury (Pit - G) House of 1000 Corvos
34 Wayne Simmonds (Phi - RW) Natural Born Quiller
35 Patrick Kane (Chi - C,RW) Nightmare on Helm St
36 Chris Kunitz (Pit - LW) Carey on Screaming!

Round 4

37 Gabriel Landeskog (Col - LW) Carey on Screaming!
38 Corey Crawford (Chi - G) Nightmare on Helm St
39 Milan Lucic (Bos - LW) Natural Born Quiller
40 Antti Niemi (SJ - G) House of 1000 Corvos
41 Pekka Rinne (Nsh - G) The Kane Chronicles
42 Nathan MacKinnon (Col - C,RW) Briere Witch Project
43 Max Pacioretty (Mon - LW) Recchident Evil
44 Patrice Bergeron (Bos - C) BranStamkers Backula
45 Eric Staal (Car - C) Ogie Ogre-thorpe
46 Henrik Zetterberg (Det - C,LW) Ichi the Hiller
47 Keith Yandle (Ari - D) Duchenesaw Massacre
48 Patrick Sharp (Chi - C,LW) Fransonstein

Round 5

49 Braden Holtby (Was - G) Fransonstein
50 Ryan Kesler (Anh - C,RW) Duchenesaw Massacre
51 Zdeno Chara (Bos - D) Ichi the Hiller
52 Brian Elliott (StL - G) Ogie Ogre-thorpe
53 Ryan Johansen (Cls - C,RW) BranStamkers Backula
54 James Neal (Nsh - LW,RW) Recchident Evil
55 Kris Letang (Pit - D) Briere Witch Project
56 Evander Kane (Wpg - LW) The Kane Chronicles
57 Patrick Marleau (SJ - C,LW) House of 1000 Corvos
58 Blake Wheeler (Wpg - RW) Natural Born Quiller
59 Zach Parise (Min - LW) Nightmare on Helm St
60 Dion Phaneuf (Tor - D) Carey on Screaming!

Round 6

61 Jaroslav Halak (NYI - G) Carey on Screaming!
62 Brent Burns (SJ - RW,D) Nightmare on Helm St
63 Alex Pietrangelo (StL - D) Natural Born Quiller
64 Pavel Datsyuk (Det - C,LW) House of 1000 Corvos
65 James van Riemsdyk (Tor - LW) The Kane Chronicles
66 Jeff Carter (LA - C,RW) Briere Witch Project
67 Roberto Luongo (Fla - G) Recchident Evil
68 Brandon Dubinsky (Cls - C,LW) BranStamkers Backula
69 Mikko Koivu (Min - C) Ogie Ogre-thorpe
70 Bobby Ryan (Ott - LW,RW) Ichi the Hiller
71 Scott Hartnell (Cls - LW) Duchenesaw Massacre
72 Jason Spezza (Dal - C) Fransonstein

Round 7

73 Niklas Kronwall (Det - D) Fransonstein
74 Joe Thornton (SJ - C) Duchenesaw Massacre
75 Ryan Miller (Van - G) Ichi the Hiller
76 Derek Stepan (NYR - C) Ogie Ogre-thorpe
77 Mark Giordano (Cgy - D) BranStamkers Backula
78 Oliver Ekman-Larsson (Ari - D) Recchident Evil
79 Drew Doughty (LA - D) Briere Witch Project
80 Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (Edm - C) The Kane Chronicles
81 Victor Hedman (TB - D) House of 1000 Corvos
82 Jimmy Howard (Det - G) Natural Born Quiller
83 Bryan Little (Wpg - C,RW) Nightmare on Helm St
84 Jarome Iginla (Col - RW) Carey on Screaming!

Round 8

85 Henrik Sedin (Van - C) Carey on Screaming!
86 Kyle Turris (Ott - C) Nightmare on Helm St
87 Duncan Keith (Chi - D) Natural Born Quiller
88 Jonathan Bernier (Tor - G) House of 1000 Corvos
89 David Krejci (Bos - C) The Kane Chronicles
90 Alexander Steen (StL - C,LW) Briere Witch Project
91 Jeff Skinner (Car - LW,RW) Recchident Evil
92 Patric Hornqvist (Pit - RW) BranStamkers Backula
93 Daniel Sedin (Van - LW) Ogie Ogre-thorpe
94 Mike Ribeiro (Nsh - C) Ichi the Hiller
95 Frederik Andersen (Anh - G) Duchenesaw Massacre
96 Kyle Okposo (NYI - RW) Fransonstein

Round 9

97 Valtteri Filppula (TB - C,LW) Fransonstein
98 Andrew Ladd (Wpg - LW) Duchenesaw Massacre
99 Jonas Hiller (Cgy - G) Ichi the Hiller
100 James Wisniewski (Cls - D) Ogie Ogre-thorpe
101 Niklas Backstrom (Min - G) BranStamkers Backula
102 Ryan Callahan (TB - RW) Recchident Evil
103 Antoine Vermette (Ari - C,LW) Briere Witch Project
104 Kevin Shattenkirk (StL - D) The Kane Chronicles
105 Martin St. Louis (NYR - RW) House of 1000 Corvos
106 Dustin Brown (LA - LW,RW) Natural Born Quiller
107 Rick Nash (NYR - LW,RW) Nightmare on Helm St
108 Thomas Vanek (Min - LW,RW) Carey on Screaming!

Round 10

109 Jakub Voracek (Phi - RW) Carey on Screaming!
110 Steve Mason (Phi - G) Nightmare on Helm St
111 Mike Smith (Ari - G) Natural Born Quiller
112 Christian Ehrhoff (Pit - D) House of 1000 Corvos
113 Paul Stastny (StL - C) The Kane Chronicles
114 Ryan Suter (Min - D) Briere Witch Project
115 John Carlson (Was - D) Recchident Evil
116 Marian Hossa (Chi - RW) BranStamkers Backula
117 Radim Vrbata (Van - RW) Ogie Ogre-thorpe
118 Troy Brouwer (Was - RW) Ichi the Hiller
119 Ryan O'Reilly (Col - C,LW) Duchenesaw Massacre
120 Jordan Eberle (Edm - RW) Fransonstein

Pengwin7 Notes:
Goalies (25). Represents 25 #1 starting goalies. Teams without #1s drafted: WPG, OTT, CAR, EDM, BUF.
Wing-Eligible FOW men (16). There are 13 or 14 (if you count Bryan Little) premium centers that take FOW and can be slotted in a wing. They are overdrafted in Yahoo! leagues with this positional flexibility.
Defensemen (21). There is a premium on across-the-board D-men, with an obvious drop-off in Tier after Karlsson/Subban/Weber/Buff. After Buff at #30, there was a lull until Yandle started a run at #47.
C-Only Centers (19). There are only about 9 ELITE mult-cat centers (Staal #45 last) and 14-15 premium C-Only centers in Yahoo! (Krejci #89 last), IMO. They dry up with GMs drafting the wing-eligible centers to their wing slots. N.B.
Wingers (39).

[temek]

Round 11

121 Radko Gudas (TB - D) Fransonstein
122 T.J. Oshie (StL - C,RW) Duchenesaw Massacre
123 Martin Hanzal (Ari - C) Ichi the Hiller
124 Alex Goligoski (Dal - D) Ogie Ogre-thorpe
125 Jake Allen (StL - G) BranStamkers Backula
126 Alexander Edler (Van - D) Recchident Evil
127 Brayden Schenn (Phi - C,LW) Briere Witch Project
128 Gustav Nyquist (Det - C,RW) The Kane Chronicles
129 Ryan McDonagh (NYR - D) House of 1000 Corvos
130 Jack Johnson (Cls - D) Natural Born Quiller
131 Mike Green (Was - D) Nightmare on Helm St
132 Tomas Plekanec (Mon - C) Carey on Screaming!

Round 12

133 Cody Hodgson (Buf - C,RW) Carey on Screaming!
134 Joffrey Lupul (Tor - LW,RW) Nightmare on Helm St
135 Darcy Kuemper (Min - G) Natural Born Quiller
136 Marian Gaborik (LA - RW) House of 1000 Corvos
137 Shane Doan (Ari - LW,RW) The Kane Chronicles
138 Kevin Bieksa (Van - D) Briere Witch Project
139 Jacob Trouba (Wpg - D) Recchident Evil
140 John Gibson (Anh - G) BranStamkers Backula
141 Johan Franzen (Det - LW,RW) Ogie Ogre-thorpe
142 Jason Pominville (Min - RW) Ichi the Hiller
143 Ondrej Pavelec (Wpg - G) Duchenesaw Massacre
144 Craig Anderson (Ott - G) Fransonstein

Round 13

145 Cody Franson (Tor - D) Fransonstein
146 Anton Khudobin (Car - G) Duchenesaw Massacre
147 Erik Johnson (Col - D) Ichi the Hiller
148 Torey Krug (Bos - D) Ogie Ogre-thorpe
149 Andrei Markov (Mon - D) BranStamkers Backula
150 Jordan Staal (Car - C,LW) Recchident Evil
151 Brandon Saad (Chi - LW,RW) Briere Witch Project
152 Ben Scrivens (Edm - G) The Kane Chronicles
153 Ondrej Palat (TB - LW) House of 1000 Corvos
154 Brad Richards (Chi - C,LW) Natural Born Quiller
155 Chris Kreider (NYR - LW) Nightmare on Helm St
156 Alexander Semin (Car - LW,RW) Carey on Screaming!

Round 14

157 Brent Seabrook (Chi - D) Carey on Screaming!
158 David Perron (Edm - LW,RW) Nightmare on Helm St
159 Tyler Bozak (Tor - C) Natural Born Quiller
160 Nazem Kadri (Tor - C) House of 1000 Corvos
161 Jake Gardiner (Tor - D) The Kane Chronicles
162 Jason Garrison (TB - D) Briere Witch Project
163 Martin Jones (LA - G) Recchident Evil
164 Jonathan Drouin (TB - LW) BranStamkers Backula
165 Clarke MacArthur (Ott - LW) Ogie Ogre-thorpe
166 Travis Zajac (NJ - C) Ichi the Hiller
167 Mark Streit (Phi - D) Duchenesaw Massacre
168 Mark Stuart (Wpg - D) Fransonstein

Round 15

169 Cam Ward (Car - G) Fransonstein
170 Niklas Svedberg (Bos - G) Duchenesaw Massacre
171 Travis Hamonic (NYI - D) Ichi the Hiller
172 Roman Josi (Nsh - D) Ogie Ogre-thorpe
173 Matt Niskanen (Was - D) BranStamkers Backula
174 Antoine Roussel (Dal - LW) Recchident Evil
175 Michael Cammalleri (NJ - C,LW) Briere Witch Project
176 Vladimir Tarasenko (StL - RW) The Kane Chronicles
177 Derick Brassard (NYR - C) House of 1000 Corvos
178 Nick Foligno (Cls - LW) Natural Born Quiller
179 Tyler Johnson (TB - C) Nightmare on Helm St
180 Jaromir Jagr (NJ - RW) Carey on Screaming!

Round 16

181 Frans Nielsen (NYI - C) Carey on Screaming!
182 Dan Boyle (NYR - D) Nightmare on Helm St
183 Steve Ott (StL - C,LW) Natural Born Quiller
184 Alex Stalock (SJ - G) House of 1000 Corvos
185 Justin Schultz (Edm - D) The Kane Chronicles
186 Brad Marchand (Bos - LW) Briere Witch Project
187 David Desharnais (Mon - C) Recchident Evil
188 Marek Zidlicky (NJ - D) BranStamkers Backula
189 Thomas Greiss (Pit - G) Ogie Ogre-thorpe
190 Dan Girardi (NYR - D) Ichi the Hiller
191 Alex Tanguay (Col - LW,RW) Duchenesaw Massacre
192 Jaden Schwartz (StL - LW) Fransonstein

Round 17

193 Artem Anisimov (Cls - C,LW) Fransonstein
194 Jake Muzzin (LA - D) Duchenesaw Massacre
195 Zach Bogosian (Wpg - D) Ichi the Hiller
196 Nail Yakupov (Edm - RW) Ogie Ogre-thorpe
197 Slava Voynov (LA - D) BranStamkers Backula
198 Mike Fisher (Nsh - C) Recchident Evil
199 Tyson Barrie (Col - D) Briere Witch Project
200 Tobias Enstrom (Wpg - D) The Kane Chronicles
201 Mikhail Grabovski (NYI - C,RW) House of 1000 Corvos
202 Mikael Granlund (Min - C) Natural Born Quiller
203 Jay Bouwmeester (StL - D) Nightmare on Helm St
204 Evgeny Kuznetsov (Was - C,LW) Carey on Screaming!

Round 18

205 Andrew MacDonald (Phi - D) Carey on Screaming!
206 Johnny Boychuk (Bos - D) Nightmare on Helm St
207 Tomas Hertl (SJ - LW) Natural Born Quiller
208 Ales Hemsky (Dal - RW) House of 1000 Corvos
209 Brendan Gallagher (Mon - RW) The Kane Chronicles
210 Cam Talbot (NYR - G) Briere Witch Project
211 Antti Raanta (Chi - G) Recchident Evil
212 Tyler Ennis (Buf - C,LW) BranStamkers Backula
213 Patrik Elias (NJ - C,LW) Ogie Ogre-thorpe
214 Mark Scheifele (Wpg - C) Ichi the Hiller
215 Morgan Rielly (Tor - D) Duchenesaw Massacre
216 Mats Zuccarello (NYR - LW) Fransonstein

Round 19

217 Brenden Dillon (Dal - D) Fransonstein
218 Robin Lehner (Ott - G) Duchenesaw Massacre
219 Mike Richards (LA - C,LW) Ichi the Hiller
220 Ryan Murphy (Car - D) Ogie Ogre-thorpe
221 Johnny Gaudreau (Cgy - LW) BranStamkers Backula
222 Aleksander Barkov (Fla - C) Recchident Evil
223 Steve Downie (Pit - LW,RW) Briere Witch Project
224 Nathan Horton (Cls - RW) The Kane Chronicles
225 James Reimer (Tor - G) House of 1000 Corvos
226 Cam Fowler (Anh - D) Natural Born Quiller
227 Valeri Nichushkin (Dal - RW) Nightmare on Helm St
228 Francois Beauchemin (Anh - D) Carey on Screaming!
229 Andrej Sekera (Car - D) Carey on Screaming!

Round 20

230 Zack Kassian (Van - RW) Nightmare on Helm St
231 Alex Galchenyuk (Mon - C,LW) Natural Born Quiller
232 Dougie Hamilton (Bos - D) House of 1000 Corvos
233 Adam Henrique (NJ - C) The Kane Chronicles
234 Nick Bonino (Van - C) Briere Witch Project
235 Mathieu Perreault (Wpg - C) Recchident Evil
236 Justin Williams (LA - RW) BranStamkers Backula
237 Chris Stewart (Buf - RW) Ogie Ogre-thorpe
238 David Clarkson (Tor - RW) Ichi the Hiller
239 Loui Eriksson (Bos - LW,RW) Duchenesaw Massacre
240 Dany Heatley (Anh - LW,RW) Fransonstein

Round 21

241 Hampus Lindholm (Anh - D) Fransonstein
242 Brian Campbell (Fla - D) Duchenesaw Massacre
243 Karri Ramo (Cgy - G) Ichi the Hiller
244 Ray Emery (Phi - G) Ogie Ogre-thorpe
245 Chris Neil (Ott - RW) BranStamkers Backula
246 Josh Harding (Min - G) Recchident Evil
247 Carl Soderberg (Bos - C,LW) Briere Witch Project
248 Justin Faulk (Car - D) The Kane Chronicles
249 Adam McQuaid (Bos - D) House of 1000 Corvos
250 Jonathan Huberdeau (Fla - C,LW) Natural Born Quiller
251 Nick Bjugstad (Fla - C) Nightmare on Helm St
252 Chad Johnson (NYI - G) Carey on Screaming!

Pengwin7 Notes
Goalies (20). Includes starters from WPG, OTT, CAR, EDM + 16 back-ups. BUF goalies not selected.
Wing-Eligible FOW men. Not a lot, but could be a few gems here if any of them get top two line minutes at center.
Rookies. Only Drouin & Gaudreau taken. Value is questionable with these picks as neither is likely to put up any FOW, minimal HITS.

[horrorfan]

Thanks for posting the draft results!

[temek]

Recchident Evil

C Desharnais, Fisher, Perreault
LW Couture, Pacioretty, J.Staal
RW Neal, Skinner, Callahan
D Byfuglien, Ekman-Larsson, Carlson, Edler, Trouba
G Rask, Luongo
BN M.Jones, Roussel, Raanta, Barkov, Harding


My teams usually end up being fairly poor at C, but this time around I ended up punting C position pretty much entirely. So should be interesting to see how that actually works out. I was more or less planning to pick up one C in rounds 6-10 and another in 10-12, but I never felt that Cs available were good choices compared to other positions at any point in the draft. After Hanzal went in the 11th round, I felt none of the remaining Cs available were much better than what would likely be available in the last few rounds/as FA so decided to completely punt the C position. I also decided to not stock up on FOW-taking wingers that much as I felt it would be more cost effective to pick up only 1 or maybe 2 FOW-taking wingers and target above average finish in FOW than to get 3-4 such players which would be needed to finish Top3 in FOW.

1. (6) Tuukka Rask (Bos - G)

Ideally I would have gotten Giroux here, but that was probably a pipe dream to start with. Pretty easy decision to go with Rask as I think he's by far the best goalie available and pretty much in his own tier at the moment as far as I am considered. Going with Rask should also allow me to wait a bit on 2nd G and someone like Halak, Holtby, Luongo or Bernier should be enough with Rask.

2. (19) Logan Couture (SJ - C,LW)

FOW-taking wingers are really valuable in this league and especially when you combine that with good scoring totals. Some might consider taking Couture this early a slight reach, but I am pretty high on Couture and had him ranked 2LW after Benn so very happy to get top-tier winger.

3. (30) Dustin Byfuglien (Wpg - RW,D)

I feel dmen are undervalued even in this league and was happy to get Top5 D with my 3rd round pick. Byfuglien will likely play forward though so I have to make sure the rest of the dmen I pick will compensate for the lack of blocks.

4. (43) Max Pacioretty (Mon - LW)

Best winger available. Considered picking up 2nd D with Chara or Phaneuf, but felt those two would likely still last a round or two.

5. (54) James Neal (Nsh - LW,RW)

Hoped I would get Kesler here, but no such luck so went with the best winger available. I feel Neal is getting slightly undervalued at the moment and I expect Neal to still stay as Top10 winger with our categories.

6. (67) Roberto Luongo (Fla - G)

Halak went and Holtby has been selected previous round so only Luongo and Bernier were left of the goalies I would be comfortable as 2G. So picked up Luongo who in combination with Rask should end up as one of the better goalie tandems in the league.

7. (78) Oliver Ekman-Larsson (Ari - D)

Wanted Giordano, but Pengwin7 picked him up under my nose so went with the next best D on my list.

8. (91) Jeff Skinner (Car - LW,RW)

Had Edler as the best available player left, but I felt I could let him slide few rounds after absolutely disastrous last season. I hoped to get some decent C around this spot, but felt none of the available Cs were worth the pick so went once again with the best winger available.

9. (102) Ryan Callahan (TB - RW)

Would have picked Andersen if he had been available, but he went the in the previous round. Edler would probably slide few more rounds so went with Callahan who I felt was pretty solid value in the 9th round.

10. (115) John Carlson (Was - D)

Close decision between Carlson, Edler and Hanzal. I really needed D with high blocks to compensate for Byfuglien and felt Edler wold very likely still be available, but it might have been better decision to go with Hanzal.

11. (126) Alexander Edler (Van - D)

The last C who I really wanted in Hanzal went just 3 picks before my selection so pretty much decided to punt whole C position as didn't feel rest of the Cs were much better than what would be available in the last few rounds/FA. So picked Edler as didn't want to miss on him by waiting too long.

12. (139) Jacob Trouba (Wpg - D)

Wanted another D to shore up blocks and went with the best on my list in Trouba. This meant that I had full lineup of 5 D already though and that's probably not a good idea as there are usually plenty of good value D picks available and some of the Top30 Ds on my list were still available in in rounds 14-18 so probably shouldn't have picked full 5 D this early.

13. (150) Jordan Staal (Car - C,LW)

Was technically the best C available, but I wanted FOW-taking winger and Staal was one of the very few worthwhile such players left.

14. (163) Martin Jones (LA - G)

Wanted backup who would post quality numbers when playing and picked up Jones who should post pretty good numbers when gets to play.

15. (174) Antoine Roussel (Dal - LW)

My team was a bit low on PIM so picked up Roussel so I could switch him in to get PIM/Hits boost without losing too much scoring.

16. (187) David Desharnais (Mon - C)

Round 16 and I finally selected my 1st center. Was mostly looking for A, FOW and +/- to a some degree and Desharnais should be decent enough for that as long as keeps playing with Pacioretty.

17. (198) Mike Fisher (Nsh - C)

Is injured, but is a solid player in this format and I can stash him in the IR in the meantime.

18. (211) Antti Raanta (Chi - G)

Was pretty poor last season, but CHI is probably the best team in the league so should post some good W-rate and GAA on per game basis as long can manage even league average SV%.

19. (222) Aleksander Barkov (Fla - C)

I punted C position so might as well pick up one or two young Cs who have a chance of breaking out and ending up decent Cs like Johansen from last season as an example.

20. (235) Mathieu Perreault (Wpg - C)

Just a filler C who might be worth a roster spot, but could easily end up in waiver wire pretty soon.

21. (246) Josh Harding (Min - G)

Injured and likely to miss a quite significant part of the season. All I want is 10-15 quality starts and Harding has usually posted solid numbers whenever he has played between injuries. I can also slot him in the IR for the time being.


As for the other teams, I like Briere Witch Project, Ogie Ogre-thorpe, House of 1000 Corvos best and Pengwin7's BranStamkers Backula features strong skaters so could finish pretty high if manages to end with even average in goalie categories. Most teams are within 10 pts in my projections though so it's pretty hard to say there's that much of difference between the teams as far as I can see.

[Shoeless]

My team: Duchenesaw Massacre

C: Backes, Thornton, Kesler
LW: O'Reilly, Hartnell, Ladd
RW: Ovechkin, Oshie, Eriksson
D: Streit, Yandle, Rielly, Muzzin, Campbell
G: Bishop, Andersen
B: Khudobin, Lehner, Pavelec, Svedberg, Tanguay

Not much time for analysis at the moment - but obviously have some issues around points production, sog and blocks. Think it is a mid to top half of the field team as it sits and need to get to work ASAP to move up.

[4T2]

My team - House of 1000 Corvos

C - Tavares, Kadri, Brassard
RW - Seguin (C), St Louis, Gaborik, Grabovski (C), Hemsky
LW - Marleau (C), Datsyuk (C), Palat
D - Hedman, Ehrhoff, McDonagh, Hamilton, McQuaid
G - Fleury, Niemi, Bernier, Stalock, Reimer

I had half of a round by round analysis wrote when my computer decided to restart. So I'm just going to do a quick and dirty version instead.

I was stoked that so many managers targeted goalies with their first two picks. In my opinion, there is no way that Quick, Varlamov and Price should go before Seguin this year. The first 7 picks went roughly how I expected, and I was targeting Seguin at #9, then smack took Quick (not a bad pick at all) which left Tavares still available. When Seguin was still there for my next pick at 16, I was stoked!

So I decided to target two goalies with my next picks. I was leaning towards the Fleury/Crawford combo that kept me near the top of the pack last year. Got Fleury in round 3 but Crawford was snagged before I could grab him. Niemi is a great consolation prize even though I was tempted to pick Rinne. With the Penguins and Sharks though, I should definitely be competitive for the Ws with solid peripherals.

Marleau, Datsyuk, St Louis, Ehrhoff and Gaborik are great offensive options who fell while the focus was on multi-cat guys. I'm lacking sandpaper but drafted all these guys later than I felt they should be available. Grit should be easy to come by later on the WW with the drop from 14 teams to 12 this year.

I think Brassard (15), Grabovski (17) and Hemsky (18) could all prove to be value picks.

Grabbing Stalock and Reimer as handcuffs late was quite a nice surprise. I planned on drafting 5 goalies anyway, but to snag two tandems is a sweet. I think a lot of teams are going to be hurting later in the year for goaltending. Not as much as in previous years, but it will still be at a premium.

Notable Sleepers -
Patrick Kane (35) - Nehithaw
Jimmy Howard (82) - The Comish
Paul Stastny (113) - smack
Jordan Eberle (120) - dooley89
Brent Seabrook (157) - arctic_rogue
Matt Niskanen (173) - Pengwin7
Brad Marchand (186) -Lordoftherinks
Mike Richards (219) - horrorfan
Steve Downmie (223) - Lordoftherinks
Loui Eriksson (239) - Shoeless
Chad Johnson (252 aka Mr Irrelevant) - arctic_rogue

All in all, this is shaping up to be a crazy competitive season. It was awesome to have a full turn out for the draft and I can't wait to see how things shake out.

Good luck everyone! And if anyone is looking to trade some multi-cat guys for offensive upgrades, hit me up.

[dooley89]

My team: Fransonstein

C: Crosby, Spezza, Anisimov
LW: Pavelski, Sharp, Schwartz
RW: Kessel, Okposo, Eberle, Heatley
D: Kronwall, Franson, Gudas, Stuart, Dillon,
G: Holtby, Anderson
BN: Filppula, Zuccarello, Lindholm, Ward

My goalies are an issue but I feel like the rest of my team contributes pretty evenly to the other categories. I was hoping to stack up on guys who get goals and play on the powerplay as well as take a significant amount of shots. I felt pretty prepared going into the draft and the hardest part was trying to figure out when the other GM's would be taking players that I wanted. There were a couple of times where my entire queue was depleted and I was left thinking real hard. Notable moment: Dubinsky and Hartnell.


1. (1) Sidney Crosby (Pit - C) - Don't think there is a better pick in this position!

2.(24) Joe Pavelski (SJ - C,LW) - Honestly didn't think he would fall this far and even with some talks of regression I am still happy to have a guy who could surpass 30-35G and rack up some severe power play points for me and some great FOW on his side of the ice.

3.(25) Phil Kessel (Tor - RW) - There were some GREAT goalies available right here but for some reason I didn't really grasp how far away my next picks were and didn't think about the fact that they would all be gone - Kessel was kind of a scramble pick however, he will hopefully push 35G again and shoot over or close to 300 shots - Maybe the leafs will get it together overall and improve his value even more!

4.(48) Patrick Sharp (Chi - C,LW) - I think Sharp has another solid season in him. The addition of Richards I believe will be helpful as well.

5.(49) Braden Holtby (Was - G) - Well I arrived at this pick with very few goalies in sight and honestly screamed the word **** when I saw that Elliot was taken a couple spots after I grabbed Holtby. I should have gone G/G here but at the time Sharp/Holtby seemed like the best scenario for me. Can't believe Elliot wasn't on my radar, frig.

6.(72) Jason Spezza (Dal - C) - On an improved team and a line possibly with Hemsky on the wing I think Spezza could have an incredible year (or an absolutely terrible one) so felt like this may have been a risky pick but glad to add another C like him at this point.

7.(73) Niklas Kronwall (Det - D) - I figured guys like this would be going FAST and wondered how soon Giordano would be gone. Kronwall is basically a 100 sog/hit/blk guy which I like and he should be able to bring in some PP for me on defense.

8.(96) Kyle Okposo (NYI - RW) - Love the potential of a full season with JT.

9.(97) Valtteri Filppula (TB - C,LW) - Needed FOW from the wing, seemed like a decent pick.

10.(120) Jordan Eberle (Edm - RW) - Eberle was hanging around for a while and it felt like a good time to grab him, hoping the Oil can pull together this year.

11.(121) Radko Gudas (TB - D) - Wasn't sure where everyone had him so decided to add this beast now.

12.(144) Craig Anderson (Ott - G) - I was pretty rattled at this point with my goalie situation and looked through every other teams picks and honestly thought "I literally am going to have the shittiest goalies in this league" and to cement that statement, I drafted Anderson!

13.(145) Cody Franson (Tor - D) - Like Franson but don't like his +/- , maybe he can clean it up this year if his buddy Phaneuf stops disappointing Leaf's fans!

14.(168) Mark Stuart (Wpg - D) - Had him in the 100pim, 200hit section for D and thought I would fill my 3rd spot and then see what was left near the end.

15.(169) Cam Ward (Car - G) - Maybe he can finally live up to the expectations?

16.(192) Jaden Schwartz (StL - LW) - Thought Schwartz was a good offensive pick at this point

17.(193) Artem Anisimov (Cls - C,LW) - Was looking for some FOW for the wing (Problem now is that none of my RW'ers take FO's!

18.(216) Mats Zuccarello (NYR - LW) - Hoping he can build off of last season and shoot, hit and score more.

19.(217) Brenden Dillon (Dal - D) - Big numbers where I felt I was lacking so grabbed my final D.

20.(240) Dany Heatley (Anh - LW,RW) - Wanted another RW so banking on the chance that he connects on the top line for more than 2 games!

21.(241) Hampus Lindholm (Anh - D) - Last pick, hoping for some serious progression!

[Pengwin7]

I love, love, love all the new team names!
Who is gonna throw out a full prediction list?
I want to see me bottom half so I can beat my prediction spot!

Thanks to temek for the full draft list, I'm going to colour-code for fun!!!

[LordoftheRinks]

My Team: The Briere Witch Project

C: Toews, Vermette (C/LW), Bonino, Soderberg (C/LW)
LW: Steen (C/LW), B.Schenn (C/LW), Cammalleri (C/LW), Marchand
RW: MacKinnon (C/RW), Carter (C/RW), Saad (LW/RW), Downie (LW/RW)
D: Letang, Doughty, Suter, Bieksa, Garrison, Barrie
G: Lundqvist, Schneider, C.Talbot


My Draft Strategy: I always like to paraphrase the words of the late, great Herb Brooks when he put together the 1980 US Olympic team to my drafting strategy…”I’m not looking for the best players, I’m looking for the right players”. On the whole, I believe this was the most talented and prepared set of GMs assembled in any draft I’ve participated in (including previous Dobber Pro/Expert drafts). In drafts like this, you really need to pull the trigger on a player you want at least a round or two earlier than is normally the case or he just isn’t going to be there. While I normally don’t ‘tier’ players, I do group certain players together that I consider ‘similar’ in terms of their stats/categories – that way, I don’t need to spend any time scrambling through a list/queue looking for players. If I don’t make a pick within 3 seconds, I haven’t done my job! I can then spend time my time adjusting for category needs and observing the other GMs’ tendencies (which will help me in future drafts with these sharks). Finally, settling in with a quality beer (in this case I broke out the Pearl Necklace Oyster Stout) and enjoying the experience is truly what it's all about!

Knowing my draft position (7) in advance, and knowing that none of the truly elite skaters would be there by my turn, my strategy would focus on building strength based on positional scarcity in goal and on and defense. This includes:
1. Drafting the best goalie combination possible. In my experience, when you compete against savvy GMs, strong goaltending is the key to victory. With both quantity (Wins and Saves) and ratio (GAA, Save %) scoring stats in this league, getting quality, starting goalies will be critical for me.
2. Overall balance – get skaters that will contribute across the board in as many categories as possible (particularly on defense) – while avoiding those skaters that are ‘category killers’ or 'one hit wonders'. This includes drafting centers with wing eligibility to fill up my wing positions.
3. Finding ‘hidden value’ – much more difficulty when you’re competing against competition like this…but when the big names are flying off the board, you need to take a chance or two on players who are in a good position to rebound.

Rounds and my picks:

1. (7) Henrik Lundqvist (NYR - G)

2. (18) Cory Schneider (NJD - G)

With 31% of my scoring categories coming from my 2 goalie positions, barring a catastrophic injury, I’m well set in this area and can focus on balance across the board. I may have reached a bit with Schneider but New Jersey is giving him the keys to car this year and he’ll get lots of starts and will put up very solid numbers.

3. (31) Jonathan Toews (CHI - C)

In most drafts, I tend not to focus on centers as they’re a dime a dozen. In this league however, centers are king and getting a quality one is a necessity. Toews isn’t sexy, but he’s as solid and consistent as they come and with my first forward I want someone I can bank on.

4. (42) Nate MacKinnon (COL – C/RW)

One of the few times in this draft I actually got the guy I wanted when I wanted him. I think he potentially has the most upside of any forward this year and as as center, playing him on my roster as a wing is pure gold.

5. (55) Kris Letang (PIT - D)

My big risk/reward pick. An elite defenseman when healthy. He’s still the quarterback on the Penguins PP and he’ll contribute across the board. If he plays 70 games I’m a genius...40 games and I’m a doofus.

6. (66) Jeff Carter (LAK – C/RW)

I wanted either Carter or Kesler this round and when Kesler was taken last round my decision was easy - Get Carter! Carter’s one of those rare shoot first centers with W eligibility.

7. (79) Drew Doughty (LAK - D)

A solid contributor on D. Expectations generally exceed (his scoring) output yet he consistently puts up numbers across the board.

8. (90) Alexander Steen (STB – C/LW)

Dual-eligible, plays with solid linemates. The fat man loves him and rewards him with big minutes. Always a bit of injury risk but I can manage it with the forwards I'm drafting.

9. (103) Antoine Vermette (PHO – C/LW)

While there were ‘sexier’ picks available, I didn’t want to sit any longer on this one with those gaudy FOW my fellow GMs are looking at. An underrated roto stud in this scoring format – he contributes across the board, plays big minutes, and he DOMINATES with FOW (with LW eligibility to boot).

10. (114) Ryan Suter (MIN - D)

As my #3 defenseman, a solid value pick. Like Doughty, somewhat underrated but a steady contributor. My defense is shaping up nicely.

11. (127) Brayden Schenn (PHL – C/LW)

A solid roto contributor with the upside of playing on Claude Giroux’s wing. This is his breakout year. (Yeah, I'm hoping!)

12. (138) Kevin Bieksa (VAN - D)

A roto monster on D (when healthy) who’ll see first unit PP time this year. Only 3 defenders should get over 25 PTS, have at least 90 PIMs, and 90 BLKs: Subban, Phaneuf, Bieksa. Bieska is the best value pick of the three. As my 4th d-man, I’m really liking my defense.

13. (151) Brandon Saad (CHI – RW/LW)

Young, with upside, and will skate on one of Chicago’s top 2 lines. Also nice having dual-eligibility at wing to cope with the inevitable injuries to the lineup.

14. (162) Jason Garrison (TBL - D)

He’s got a cannon and shoots it a lot. On Tampa’s PP, he’ll definitely improve on his numbers from last year. Another nice across-the-board contributor on D. As my 5th and final defenseman, I’ve assembled a truly, solid back-end.

15. (175) Mike Cammalleri (NJD – C/LW)

I was hoping to snag Roussel this round to address some PIM needs (and I wanted another LW), but he went right before my pick. So, I went to plan B and added some goal scoring instead. (IMO, I see PIMs, along with HITS as the easier categories to make up in a pinch.) Cammalleri ended up in a great place with the Devils – they need goal scoring and he’ll get that opportunity and see significant PP time.

16. (186) Brad Marchand (BOS - LW)

A nice insurance pick at LW – an all-around contributor I can plug in when needed.

17. (199) Tyson Barrie (COL - D)

For my bench strategy I target either insurance or opportunity. Barrie gives me both – he’ll be a nice replacement if/when Letang (or another D) gets injured and he definitely has upside with all that firepower in COL. A really nice bench asset for my defense.


18. (210) Cam Talbot (NYR - G)

My Lundqvist insurance policy (long live the King!) – plus he’ll put up solid numbers when he fills in.

19. (223) Steve Downie (PIT - LW/RW)

My PIM make-up selection. I actually see some upside with Dowine in PIT. At worse, he’ll get 3rd line minutes and potentially could see occasional time on the one of the first two lines or 2nd PP as he’s a complimentary player to the skilled players.

20. (234) Nick Bonino (VAN - C)

A depth pick that I can slot in as needed in a third line role. As the 2nd line center in VAN he’ll see significant minutes, get 50 pts and be able to contribute to my FOW. Not too shabby for a 234th pick.

21. (246) Carl Soderberg (BOS – C/LW)

He’ll improve on his numbers from last year – a smart, skilled guy on a solid team playing for a contract…and I can slot him at C or LW when needed.

Given the level of competition in this league, I very pleased I was able to accomplish my draft goals. It was interesting to watch the other strategies unfold – everyone brought their ‘A’ game to this draft. In summary, I believe I have (arguably) the best goalie combination along with quality defensive depth…and I have good balance with my skaters across the scoring categories. I have assets and depth if I need to trade to bolster any weaknesses that may develop. My team may not be sexy, but it's as solid as they come. I see my team as the wife in the Jimmy Soul song:

"If you wanna be happy for the rest of your life
Never make a pretty women your wife
Go for my personal point of view
Get an ugly girl to marry you!
Dude 1:Say man...
Dude 2:Hey man...
Dude 1: I saw your wife (my team) the other day...
Dude 2: Yeah...
Dude 1: Yeah and shes ugly...
Dude 2: Yeah shes ugly but she sure can cook baby.
Dude 1: Yeah!"

We'll see if this team can cook. Good luck boys!

[dooley89]

I love, love, love all the new team names!
Who is gonna throw out a full prediction list?
I want to see me bottom half so I can beat my prediction spot!

Thanks to temek for the full draft list, I'm going to colour-code for fun!!!

I would like to beat my prediction spot again as well, not sure I can beat it as well as you did last year though!
Projected 12th last year, finished 9th

[temek]

I guess I might as well post standings predictions based on my projections. Keep in mind that I drafted based on these numbers so I would need to mess the draft up completely to not have my team at the top by a decent margin. Plenty of teams within fairly small margins so should be interesting to see how the standings shape up during the season. Few teams are nowhere near the 164 GP limit with the current goalies so those teams would probably do better assuming they can get the starts, but projections don't account for that. There are quite few backups available as FA so getting to 164 GP shouldn't really be a big problem, but would require activity with picking up goalies to do that.

Recchident Evil	117
Ogie Ogre-thorpe	92
Briere Witch Project	92
House of 1000 Corvos	91
Duchenesaw Massacre	86
Ichi the Hiller	86
BranStamkers Backula	84
Fransonstein	78
Skinner & Silent Bob	76
Carey on Screaming!	74
Nightmare on Helm St	70
Natural Born Quiller	68

Just for reference some analysis of my projections from last season compared to the final results. Pts predictions are a bit all over the place, but 6 teams finished within 1 spot of the predicted position and 13 out of 14 teams finished within 2 spots of the predicted position. Based on my experiences of predicting fantasy league standings that's an extremely good prediction. Could be just good luck over one season though so should be interesting to see how well this season's projections match the actual results.

Team	Projected Pts	Projected rank	Final Pts	Final rank	Difference Pts	Difference Rank
Recchident Evil	149	1	150	2	1	-1
A.Niityville Horrors	117	2	162,5	1	45,5	1
I Smid of your Grave	111	3	110	5	-1	-2
Silence of the Stams	108	4	78,5	11	-29,5	-7
Pavelnormal Activity	107	5	126,5	3	19,5	2
House of 1000 Corvos	105	6	121,5	4	16,5	2
Ogie Ogrethorpe	103	7	98,5	8	-4,5	-1
Skinner & Silent Bob	92	8	104	6	12	2
Phaneufenstein	91	9	100	7	9	2
Dead & Fleuried	85	10	84	10	-1	0
Nightmare on Helm Street	81	11	86	9	5	2
Nosferatuuka	81	11	56,5	13	-24,5	-2
Drag Me To Hellberg	72	13	67	12	-5	1
Army of Subbans	63	14	30	14	-33	0

[Pengwin7]

Those are pretty incredible draft predictions even for last year.
Of course, we lost a couple teams to inactivity and that can really mess up the rankings.
I know Army of Subbans just about checked out mid-year... and Stams (Dyz) got swamped with school and missed a bunch of starts.

Me & Shoeless are surely proud to both exceed expectations from last year.
Both of us were benefactors of an incredible rich back-up stats year for goalies.
Still amazed that Shoe pulled off a nearly 90% rake on available points last year... as normally the 150pts your team put up would win a 14-team league in 4 of 5 seasons (I'd bet, by math).

I don't mind being pegged anywhere near the masses.
One of my best (self-noted) skills is chasing teams down in categories, identifying what & who I can catch and maximizing assets.

Any chance you can break these down by:
*Skater Points
*Goalie Points

[temek]

I guess I can post Skater/Goalie breakdown. Not going to post category-by-category breakdown as that's just giving up too much information and I want to win this league after all.

Team	Skater Pts	Goalie Pts	Total
Recchident Evil	74	43	117
Ogie Ogre-thorpe	64	28	92
Briere Witch Project	61	31	92
House of 1000 Corvos	64	27	91
Duchenesaw Massacre	55	31	86
Ichi the Hiller	57	29	86
BranStamkers Backula	72	12	84
Fransonstein	69	9	78
Skinner & Silent Bob	42	34	76
Carey on Screaming!	53	21	74
Nightmare on Helm St	43	27	70
Natural Born Quiller	48	20	68