Reply With QuoteElliot
Bernier
Andersen
50 + Starts
Do you think the following goalies will get 50 + starts.
Elliott
Andersen
Bernier
Which would get me the most points at 2 pts per win, 3 pts per shut out
Re: 50 + Starts
Elliot
Bernier
Andersen
Re: 50 + Starts
Elliot - Yes (75% confident)
Andersen - Yes (65% confident)
Bernier - Yes (65% confident)
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Elliot is your point monster as he will lead this group in shutouts rather handlely imo
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Re: 50 + Starts
Bernier
Elliott
Andersen (assuming ANA by spelling)
My golden rule with goalies is GP first, then team quality if the starts are remotely similar. I have confidence Bernier will get 60 starts, Elliott 45-50 at best so that difference is huge in my thinking. I'm not willing to leave that many GP on the table in the hope I can make it up in wins and SO. St. Louis is a great team, but will also have an extremely tough conference to play in compared to Toronto. Shut-outs are bonus money only and shouldn't be counted on.
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Re: 50 + Starts
Bernier has the best shot to get 50.
Allen will cut into Elloitt's starts, in fact I personally believe when all is said and done that Allen will of started more games than Elliott.
Same for Andersen, he has good competition
Both of Elliott / Anderson will be under 50.
Bernier IMO has the best chance to hit 50.
The best chance to get you the most points of the players listed, Bernier.
Originally Posted by z420-81
Re: 50 + Starts
Bernier: 62 starts x 50% win rate = 31 W.
Elliott: 52 starts x 60% win rate = 31 W.
Andersen: 48 starts x 60% win rate = 30 W.
I think it'll be very, very, very close.
I'd take Bernier just because I think he's the most likely to stay #1 throughout the season.
Re: 50 + Starts
Solid analysis, but I would reduce Bernier's starts because he is a smaller goalie, and injury-prone, and they may want to rest him for the playoffs (unless they're in a battle). I can see Reimer starting 25+ games. That said, I'd still take him over the other two because of the competition.
Re: 50 + Starts
This seems like a pretty fair analysis and I'll agree with it.
That being said, I think Elliot will provide the best opportunity for shutouts this season over the other two players so that may tip the scales in his favour in my eyes. I don't think he'll replicate his 9 SHO in 38 games like he did a few years ago, but if he were to play 52 games I'd be confident saying he'll get 6 or 7 shutouts on a very strong Blues squad.
Re: 50 + Starts
If it is that close, then as STLBlues posted above, Elliott is the best choice based on shutout potential.
Re: 50 + Starts
Yes, I'd agree.
I like Elliott with SO factored in.
Re: 50 + Starts
Do you mean 3 extra points for the shutout (on top of the 2 from the win)... or just 1 extra point for the shutout.
In any event, between those 3, I am very confident that Bernier will get the most starts and the most points.
Re: 50 + Starts
that's how it usually works yeah, a 4-1 win gets you 2 pts, while a 4-0 win nets you 5
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