Good or not for my trade ?

[Magicstew]

Interesting thread.
I don't know.

1. Your team is bad right now. Young. Re-building.
2. So, you are looking for your team to peak in about 2-3 years.
3. There are 13 teams keeping 7F, 3D, 1G. That's 91 forward keepers. The #91 forward in the NHL will typically score about 48pts. With your 11th overall pick, you might be looking at forward #97 or #98... which is still a 47pt forward.

Thus, Oshie (who I'd call a 60pt player), represents a +13pt increase on the forward you could instead pick at #11.
So it would seem as if Oshie is the better side.
As a direct NOW decision... he is...

But read on.


The REAL question is this:
Since you are in "re-build"... how many teams in your league are going to be taking a prospect in those first 11 picks???
In some leagues, the 1st/2nd/3rd overall picks might be prospects like Bennett, Reinhart, Draisatl... in other leagues (with partial keepers) they might all be experienced players.

Now... the value of these top picks THIS year isn't as high as previous years, but these are still going to be 65-70pt players down the road.
That's BETTER value than Oshie... IF... IF you can get him.


The other thing to keep in mind is this:
1. You take Oshie... that's good for 60pts.
2. You take a rookie... that's good for 30-40pts.

Your team is WORSE with the rookie. THIS IS GOOD.

The 2015 entry draft has two incredible prospects: McDavid & Eichel.
You NEED/WANT to be able to get one of these guys next summer.

How you get that pick depends on your league settings... but set yourself up to get that pick.
In most leagues... rebuilding teams should STAY BAD... as bad as possible, so that they get McDavid & Eichel.

For these reasons, I'd keep the #11 pick and take a rookie (Bennett, Reinhart, or Draisatl) so that your team can remain bad this year, but better 2-3 years from now.

Great Analysis Pengy - thinking along the same lines.
My thought is you keep Oshie then look at trading him right away next year as he is in his prime ( high value), for a stud prospect & draft pick etc.
Then you are in the running for next years top picks and ready to compete with a dynasty in 2-3 years.

[lplmnop]

i have never been a Bozak fan, but i dont dislike him either. that being said if its a call btwn Bozak and Oshie..its Oshie. Bozak and Backes..not sure where that came from but i would say Backes.

Sorry, you're right. It's between Oshie and Bozak

[lplmnop]

I finaly maked this trade ! I'm Du LA

Trade: 2014 Draft Pick, Round 1 Pick 9 from Du Hartford - Phil to Du LA - LP
Trade: 2014 Draft Pick, Round 7 Pick 9 from Du Hartford - Phil to Du LA - LP
Trade: T.J. Oshie F - STL from Du Hartford - Phil to Du LA - LP
Trade: Dan Boyle D - NYI from Du Hartford - Phil to Du LA - LP
Trade: 2014 Draft Pick, Round 7 Pick 8 from Du LA - LP to Du Hartford - Phil
Trade: Ryan Suter D - MIN from Du LA - LP to Du Hartford - Phil
Trade: Alex Killorn F - TB from Du LA - LP to Du Hartford - Phil
Trade: 2014 Draft Pick, Round 3 Pick 13 from Du LA - LP to Du Hartford - Phil

[lplmnop]

What i'm doing with Boyle ?!?

I have 3 keepers : Jones, Hamilton, Vatanen, Gardiner ??