View Poll Results: Will I win

Voters
18. This poll is closed
  • Yes, you can probably hold on

    5 27.78%
  • Nope. He's probably got you

    13 72.22%
Page 1 of 2 1 2 LastLast
Results 1 to 15 of 30

Thread: Will I win? Curious as to what odds the community gives me

  1. #1
    Location
    Pickering
    Rep Power
    40

    I...am your father.

    Default Will I win? Curious as to what odds the community gives me

    Here's my situation:

    I'm in first place. I have a five point lead over a guy, points only.

    He has: Gaborik, Williams, Stepan, Richards and Richards.

    I have: Kopitar, Toffoli and Brown



    What are my chances?
    The Best Fantasy Hockey Site

    15-Team Keeper, points only, best 12 fwd, 4 dman, 2 G count. Playoffs count.

    F - T. Thompson, Thomas, Nylander, Tarasenko, Arvidsson, Guentzel, Fiala, Quinn, Mittelstadt, Hagel, Zacha, Roslovic, Berggren, Brink, Ostlund
    G - Kahkonen, Vejmelka, L. Thompson, Levi, Comrie
    D - Hronek, Morrissey, Lundkvist, Girard, Brannstrom, Rathbone, Hanifin, Severson, Durzi

  2. #2
    Big Baby's Avatar
    Big Baby is offline
    Join Date
    Aug 2011
    Posts
    1,367
    Location
    Beeton, ON
    Rep Power
    31

    Dobber Sports Ace

    Default Re: Will I win? Curious as to what odds the community gives me

    I think te series goes 5-6 games. Kopitar will have an easier time against rangers than he did with Blackhawks. I would say he and Toffoli are good for a point/game. Brown might get a 2-3points in the series. So you're looking at 12-15 points.

    Gaborik will have a series against his old team. I can see 6-7 points in 5-6 games. Stepan will also be a factor. Give him 4-5. The Richards' will be quiet. Maybe a point each.

    So it's gonna be really close. It's gonna come down to defense and goaltending. I think that the rangers are in for a rude awakening and will face an offence they haven't seen yet in these playoffs. On the other hand, the ranger offense is not even close to being as good as Chicago.

    I see this series being a huge mismatch and NYR only hanging around because Lundqvist steals a game or two. LA side wins and you have more players and more offensive players.

    Consider your lead I'm gonna say yes. You win
    6 Team no limit Keeper. Cap league $100m
    Points only G/A=1, Hattrick = +3, Wins = 2, SO = +3, OTL/SOL = +1
    12 Forwards, 6 Defense, 2 Goalies, 6 Reserve (any position)

    Forwards
    Crosby $8.7
    Stone $9.5
    Svechnikov $7.7
    Debrincat $6.4
    Hall $6
    Meier $6
    Guentzel $6
    Ehlers $6
    Hertl $5.6
    Konecny $5.5
    Palat $5.3
    JT Miller $5.2
    Garland $4.9
    Kakko $.9
    Laff $.9


    Defense
    Josi $9
    Burns $8
    Letang $7.2
    Nurse $5.6
    Werenski $5
    Sergachev $4.8
    Fox $.9

    Goalies
    Shesterkin $5.6
    Ullmark $5
    Hart $3.9
    Blackwood $2.8


  3. #3
    Dikoi's Avatar
    Dikoi is offline
    Join Date
    Dec 2013
    Posts
    1,710
    Rep Power
    29

    Dobber Sports Stud

    Default Re: Will I win? Curious as to what odds the community gives me

    I voted NO but didn't notice that you have a 5 point lead over the other guy. So since I can't change my vote, I'll just say it here: I think you have enough of a lead to hold on, especially if it's a short series, which I think it will be. If the series goes 6 or 7, then it might come down to the wire. Good luck!

  4. #4
    Location
    Prairies
    Rep Power
    40

    Dobber Sports Demi-God

    Default Re: Will I win? Curious as to what odds the community gives me

    I'm going to cancel Kopitar(24)/Toffoli(13) with Gaborik(19)/J.Williams(18).
    And I'll cancel D.Brown(12) with Mike Richards(8).

    So... can his Stepan/B.Richards put up 5pts?
    If LA wins in 4 or 5... I'd say no.
    If the series goes 6 or 7... I'd say yes.

    I think the series will go 6 or 7... so I think you'll come out 2 or 3pts behind.
    Hope I'm wrong.

  5. #5
    kovalchuk17's Avatar
    kovalchuk17 is offline
    Join Date
    Sep 2007
    Posts
    3,915
    Rep Power
    37

    Dobber Sports Star

    Default Re: Will I win? Curious as to what odds the community gives me

    I think you're gonna lose more likely than not.

  6. #6
    Location
    Nova Scotia
    Rep Power
    40

    Dobber Sports Deity

    Default Re: Will I win? Curious as to what odds the community gives me

    My train of thought is similars to P7's.

    I am doubtful you hold onto your lead but I am rooting for ya just the same.

    I've been out of my pool for a while now.
    10 Team, Points Only, Cash League

    25 Man Roster (no position), top 20 point getters count at end of month
    Keep 20/25 at seasons end, Cut 5 to FA for redrafting
    Goalie points W=2pt L=-1pt SHO=2pt

    Stamkos, Tavares, Eichel, Mercer, JRobertson, RThomas, Kucherov, Nugent-Hopkins, Tuch, KConnor, Necas, Point, Konecny, SJarvis, Cozenz, Morrissey, Bouchard, Josi, Novak, Tolvanen, Peterka, Brink

    G- Vasilevskiy, Sorokin, Oettinger


    "Cleavage is like the sun. You can look, but dont stare.. Unless you're wearing sunglasses."

  7. #7
    Rep Power
    0

    Banned

    Default Re: Will I win? Curious as to what odds the community gives me

    No, he's going to catch you and overtake you I think. The best you can hope for is a Kings sweep - which is a distinct possibility

  8. #8
    Mr. Guru's Avatar
    Mr. Guru is offline
    Join Date
    Aug 2009
    Posts
    9,529
    Location
    Toronto
    Rep Power
    50

    The Great One

    Default Re: Will I win? Curious as to what odds the community gives me

    4-5 games you win
    6-7 games you lose

  9. #9
    Dutch's Avatar
    Dutch is offline
    Join Date
    Dec 2007
    Posts
    6,126
    Rep Power
    0

    Banned

    Default Re: Will I win? Curious as to what odds the community gives me

    I voted no. I think the advantage of having more players in the final is pretty big for only a 5 pt lead. If they are all low scoring affairs though, you can definitely do it.

    My apologies, but Id like to piggy back on this thread, What do you think my chances are?

    I am 14 pts behind 1st.

    His team has Kopitar, Doughty & Quick (1 pt per win)
    My team has Carter, Gaborik, M. Richards, Voynov, Stepan & McDonagh

    is this winnable for me you guys figure?

  10. #10
    Mr. Guru's Avatar
    Mr. Guru is offline
    Join Date
    Aug 2009
    Posts
    9,529
    Location
    Toronto
    Rep Power
    50

    The Great One

    Default Re: Will I win? Curious as to what odds the community gives me

    Quote Originally Posted by Dutch View Post
    I am 14 pts behind 1st.

    His team has Kopitar, Doughty & Quick (1 pt per win)
    My team has Carter, Gaborik, M. Richards, Voynov, Stepan & McDonagh

    is this winnable for me you guys figure?
    No. 14 points is too much.

  11. #11
    Location
    Vancouver
    Rep Power
    16

    Dobber Sports Blue-Chipper

    Default Re: Will I win? Curious as to what odds the community gives me

    If piggy-backing the thread is okay........
    I'm in a similar situation: I'm 4 points behind the leader.
    I have kopitar, m richards, b richards, st louis, lundqvist.
    He has stepan, zuccarello and pouliout.
    A third team is 6 points behind me (so 10 behind the leader) and has Williams, Martinez, Nash.
    Prizes for 1st and 2nd... who gets 'em?
    10 team pts-only keeper league - keep 10 plus 10 from past/present farm. No bench: entire active roster counts. Goalies: 2 pts/win + 3/shutout. 82 adds / year. NHL playoffs count for separate prize.

    F: J Eichel, M Tkachuk, J Guentzel, E Pettersson, P Laine, R Thomas, C Kreider, M Boldy, J Kyrou, M Backlund, F Vatrano, N Niederreiter, R Rakell, M Marchment, M Domi
    D: A Fox, S Theodore, R Andersson, B Montour, S Durzi, D Keith
    G: F Andersen, S Knight, J Swayman
    IR: J Hughes, M Stone, M Grzelcyk, S Perunovich
    Farm: L Raymond, O Wahlstrom, S Skinner, C Addison, Y Chinakhov, J Perreault

  12. #12
    Location
    Pickering
    Rep Power
    40

    I...am your father.

    Default Re: Will I win? Curious as to what odds the community gives me

    Quote Originally Posted by Dutch View Post
    I voted no. I think the advantage of having more players in the final is pretty big for only a 5 pt lead. If they are all low scoring affairs though, you can definitely do it.

    My apologies, but Id like to piggy back on this thread, What do you think my chances are?

    I am 14 pts behind 1st.

    His team has Kopitar, Doughty & Quick (1 pt per win)
    My team has Carter, Gaborik, M. Richards, Voynov, Stepan & McDonagh

    is this winnable for me you guys figure?

    I'd put the odds at like 5%. That's a huge margin to come back from
    The Best Fantasy Hockey Site

    15-Team Keeper, points only, best 12 fwd, 4 dman, 2 G count. Playoffs count.

    F - T. Thompson, Thomas, Nylander, Tarasenko, Arvidsson, Guentzel, Fiala, Quinn, Mittelstadt, Hagel, Zacha, Roslovic, Berggren, Brink, Ostlund
    G - Kahkonen, Vejmelka, L. Thompson, Levi, Comrie
    D - Hronek, Morrissey, Lundkvist, Girard, Brannstrom, Rathbone, Hanifin, Severson, Durzi

  13. #13
    Location
    Pickering
    Rep Power
    40

    I...am your father.

    Default Re: Will I win? Curious as to what odds the community gives me

    Quote Originally Posted by Chunkys_Choice View Post
    If piggy-backing the thread is okay........
    I'm in a similar situation: I'm 4 points behind the leader.
    I have kopitar, m richards, b richards, st louis, lundqvist.
    He has stepan, zuccarello and pouliout.
    A third team is 6 points behind me (so 10 behind the leader) and has Williams, Martinez, Nash.
    Prizes for 1st and 2nd... who gets 'em?
    This one is in the bag for you. Easy
    The Best Fantasy Hockey Site

    15-Team Keeper, points only, best 12 fwd, 4 dman, 2 G count. Playoffs count.

    F - T. Thompson, Thomas, Nylander, Tarasenko, Arvidsson, Guentzel, Fiala, Quinn, Mittelstadt, Hagel, Zacha, Roslovic, Berggren, Brink, Ostlund
    G - Kahkonen, Vejmelka, L. Thompson, Levi, Comrie
    D - Hronek, Morrissey, Lundkvist, Girard, Brannstrom, Rathbone, Hanifin, Severson, Durzi

  14. #14
    mister_mcgoo's Avatar
    mister_mcgoo is offline
    Join Date
    May 2008
    Posts
    19,119
    Rep Power
    0

    Banned

    Default Re: Will I win? Curious as to what odds the community gives me

    I betcha either way it will be pretty close. The problem for you is that you have no Rangers so you're hoping for a quick series with few goals for the Rags. If you can get that then I would be willing to guess that Kopitar/Brown/Toffoli will be able to match the production of Gabby/Williams/Richards. I think your odds are slightly better than even

  15. #15
    Magicstew's Avatar
    Magicstew is offline
    Join Date
    Feb 2007
    Posts
    5,131
    Location
    Stonewall, Mb.
    Rep Power
    50

    Dobber Sports Superstar

    Default Re: Will I win? Curious as to what odds the community gives me

    Quote Originally Posted by Dobber View Post
    Here's my situation:

    I'm in first place. I have a five point lead over a guy, points only.

    He has: Gaborik, Williams, Stepan, Richards and Richards.

    I have: Kopitar, Toffoli and Brown



    What are my chances?
    If Rangers win two games I think you will end up in second - should be close 9 for ytour sake hopefully Lundy steals a game 1-0 or 2-1)


    Quote Originally Posted by Dutch View Post
    I voted no. I think the advantage of having more players in the final is pretty big for only a 5 pt lead. If they are all low scoring affairs though, you can definitely do it.

    My apologies, but Id like to piggy back on this thread, What do you think my chances are?

    I am 14 pts behind 1st.

    His team has Kopitar, Doughty & Quick (1 pt per win)
    My team has Carter, Gaborik, M. Richards, Voynov, Stepan & McDonagh

    is this winnable for me you guys figure?

    Sorry spend the second place cheque - 14 too much to come back on.
    Quote Originally Posted by Chunkys_Choice View Post
    If piggy-backing the thread is okay........
    I'm in a similar situation: I'm 4 points behind the leader.
    I have kopitar, m richards, b richards, st louis, lundqvist.
    He has stepan, zuccarello and pouliout.
    A third team is 6 points behind me (so 10 behind the leader) and has Williams, Martinez, Nash.
    Prizes for 1st and 2nd... who gets 'em?
    If rangers win 2 games, you should be able to buy a round with your first place cheque - especially if Lundy throws a donut in a game.
    Piranha Hockey League est 1990 - Oakley Doakley's - 16 teams
    Pts only W=2 OL=1 SO=3 Auction Draft

    WHL - est 2016 Expansion - Glasgow Kiss - 24 teams
    25 pro players / 10 minor league players
    G,A,+/-,PPP,SOG,Hits,Blk,PIM,FOW, W,Sv,GA,SHO


Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •