Lets make a list of goalies for the next 3-4 yrs will be lock as #1 goalies.

[pmkidd]

Also which goalies have a most likely chance as being staters for the next 3-4 years. Also goalies where we have no idea if they wil be starters next 3- 4 years. That where starters or could become for next season. With goalie situation the way it is it makes keeping goalies more of a difficult choice. I will start the list. Feel free to add goalies to list that will be most likely starters next year. I know nothing is guaranteed with goalies any more but list should be good for next 3-4 years.
(Should be good but who knows the way goalie situation is playing out this year.)

Locks for next 3-4 years
Price
Rask
Lundqvist
Lehtonen
Varlamov
Quick
Crawford
Luongo
Bobrovsky
Rinne
Bishop
Schneider
Fleury (unless implodes in playoffs)
Smith

Probably starters next 3-4 years
Breiner
Miller
Mason
Halak
Hiller
Niemi
Howard
Lack
Khudobin
Lehner

No idea if going to be starts next 3-4 years

Anderson
Pavelec
Reimer
Andersen
Ward
Kuemper
Holtby
Lack
Harding
Scrivens
Fasth
Hackett
Ramo
Neuvirth

Let me know who has to be moved and who I missed. looking for starters. Not goalies that could back up some games in the next 3-4 years. Thanks

[0PucksGiven]

I would put Lehtonen as a Lock
Lack as probably
Bernier could be argued as a lock as well.
Mason Should be a lock after this season.
I would almost put Pavelec in the No idea section
My gut feeling wants to put Fasth as in the probably starting over putting Scrivens there but most likely they will do a 41/41 game split or so ...

that's my $.02

[glorybe23]

Ramo in Calgary - leaning towards no idea in 3-4.
Smith in Phoenix - is a lock

[Pengwin7]

That's a pretty long "lock" list, but surprisingly... I'd probably agree with it.

Goalies do fluctuate, and to see whether we can confidently say a goalie will still be a starter for the next 4 years, let's look back to 3 seasons ago, 2010-2011.
2010-2011 Goalie Leaders: WINS (with age, after THAT season)
38 Price (MON), 23
38 Luongo (VAN), 32
37 Ward (CAR), 27
37 Kipper (CGY), 35
37 Howard (DET), 26
36 Bryzgalov (PHX), 31
36 Lundqvist (NYR), 29
36 Fleury (PIT), 26
35 Quick (LA), 25
35 Niemi (SJ), 27
35 Thomas (BOS), 37
34 Lehtonen (DAL), 27
34 Miller (BUF), 30
33 Rinne (NAS), 28
33 Crawford (CHI), 26
28 Bobrovsky (PHI), 22
27 Halak (STL), 26

It sort of falls of from there.
Not surprisingly, the guys over the age of 30 fell off.. with Luongo still sort of holding on.

And simply pegging a goalie to an age of decline is not always fair... but it does seem that somewhere in their 30s, down they might go.

So... I think you may need to shift Rinne, Luongo, and Miller off this "lock" list. Just too old.
For similar reasons, the 32-year old Mike Smith is probably not on this list.
Lundqvist is the modern Brodeur, and I think he's safe.

Of the "probably" list, I think that one should be shorter:
Just Bernier, Lehtonen, Howard, IMO.

I wouldn't even call Niemi, Halak, Mason, Hiller, or Pavelec a "probably".
And Khuodbin shouldn't be anywhere near this list yet.
I know his career numbers look mighty fine... but he's still under 60 NHL GP.
He hasn't yet "felt" the pressure of being an annointed #1.

Good overall list though.

[havanablast21]

Neurvirth?

[Oakville Squires]

I would add Lehner to the probably list as I think he splits time with Anderson next year and takes over the reins the year after.

[yougo]

I wouldn't put Bishop in the lock category because of Andrei Vasilevski.

I'd have as my locks :

Price
Rask
Quick
Bobrovski
Lundqvist
Luongo
Schneider
Rinne
Fleury

Those at first glance looks like my only sure locks.

[pmkidd]

Good points will adjust list going to wait for more responses . Just made list up quickly off top of my head.

[pmkidd]

Vasilevski is only 19 years old. I think lightning will give him time to adjust to nhl. So Bishop should be good for a couple years if he played like this year. IMO

[jcairns]

Vasilevski is only 19 years old. I think lightning will give him time to adjust to nhl. So Bishop should be good for a couple years if he played like this year. IMO

As you said, Vasilevski shouldn't be a concern for quite a few years. Shouldn't be factored into a fantasy hockey decision right now imo.

[jross]

Good list -

I would take out Miller from Locks...

I would add Lehtonen to Locks...

I would take out Khudobin and Pavelec from Maybes...
I would add Lack to Maybes...

[woodrow]

I also think that Lehner should be a probable and I do see him taking the reins from Anderson either late next season or the season after. Pavelec I think is close to playing himself out of a job so I would be tempted to put him in the don't know list. Lack, Stalock and Andersen could all be put in the probable list too. I don't have much faith in Hiller or Niemi and Lack does have an opportunity to seize the starter's job in Vancouver.

[Axeman33]

I would pencil Matt Hackett into the "probably" catagory as well. I think he becomes the starter in Buffalo in the next year, even over Neuvirth.

[pmkidd]

Updated list
Miller probably
Lehtonen lock
Smith lock
Lack probably
Lehner probably
Pavelec no idea
Hackett no idea
Neuvirth no idea

Any other ideas or input. Will make adjustments. Thanks

[2014olympicgold]

List of goalies under 28 (that aren't stars already) that are pretty solid. Bolded are first round picks

Goalie	Team	Draft Year	Draft Pick
Khudobin	Carolina	2004	206
Stalock	San Jose	2005	112
Bachman	Stars	2006	120
Zatkoff	Pitts	2006	74
Johnson	Boston	2006	125
Markstrom	Van	2008	31
Allen	Stl	2008	34
Poulin	NYI	2008	126
Tokarski	Montreal	2008	122
Lehner	Ott	2009	46
Hackett	Buff	2009	77
Nilsson	NYI	2009	62
Kuemper	Minny	2009	161
Mrzek	Detroit	2010	141
Campbell	Stars	2010	11
Visentin	Phx	2010	27
Grubauer	Wash	2010	112
Gibson	Ducks	2011	37
Hellberg	Nashville	2011	32
Anderson	Ducks	2012	82
Subban	Boston	2012	24
Vaskilevski	Tampa	2012	19
Lack	Van	Undrafted	0
Svedberg	Boston	Undrafted	0
Jones	LA	Undrafted	0