Really hard to know in a cap league. Sometimes someone takes a chance on a big money guy, other times you can't get rid of him even by passing him through waivers. I play in a league where Gaborik has about an 80% chance of clearing waivers, and I have snuck Vanek through at least once. Hell, Spezza spent the 11-12 season on someone's farm after clearing waivers.
Well sure, but I was referring to salary effects, and sometimes it's worth losing a pick to free up some space.