I'd start Pavelec.
Much better numbers against Florida in his career, whereas Rinne is terrible against LA and been bad so far this year in general.
Until Rinne gets hot, I go with the current trend in betting against Florida and the career stats Pavelec has.
Just so you know, these are his numbers against Florida. 7-2-0-1 with a 2.44 GAA and .923 SV%.
Rinne is just bad against LA so far.