Wanna try predicting 1str round picks?

[Shoeless]

14 team Yahoo, one-year roto, daily lineups
No max moves/82 games max per position
G,A,+/-,PIM,PPP,SOG,FOW,HIT,BLK,W,GAA,SV,SV%
3C,3L,3R,5D,2G,5BN,2IR

Just curious how folks think the first round of this draft might go. Pretty experienced GM's.

If Yahoo rankings were followed this would be the order, just for some comparison:

Stamkos
Malkin
Giroux
Crosby
Ovechkin
Lundqvist
Perry
D. Sedin
Tavares
Quick
Rinne
Parise
Kovalchuk
Kessel

[PensInThree]

I'll give it a go. The keeper I commish has exactly the same stats except we also have points and shutouts. Getting rid of shutouts next year.

Malkin
Giroux
Crosby
Ovie
Stammer
Perry
Lundqvist
Quick
Rinne
Tavares
Neal
D.Sedin
Parise
Kovalchuk (Though I'd probably take Backes myself here)

[Bnhershy]

Bonus:

Malkin
Stamkos
Crosby
Giroux
Ovechkin
Perry
D. Sedin
Kovalchuk
Tavares
Lundqvist
Quick
Rinne
H.Sedin
Karlsson
Howard
Fleury
Parise
Datsyuk
Spezza
Miller
Rask
Price
Kiprusoff
Gaborik
Backes
Nash
Zetterberg
Neal

[Shoeless]

Thanks guys - interesting Bnhershy - makes some sense how you lay out the first 2 rounds - only picks 1-5 without a goalie going into the 3rd round.

Malkin - Neal
Stamkos - Zetterberg
Crosby - Nash
Giroux - Backes
Ovechkin - Gaborik
Perry - Kiprusoff
D. Sedin - Price
Kovalchuk - Rask
Tavares - Miller
Lundqvist - Spezza
Quick - Datsyuk
Rinne - Parise
H.Sedin - Fleury
Karlsson - Howard

[horrorfan]

Interesting rankings so far. As expected, generally the early picks are more consistent but once you get later in the first and all throughout the second round, there are a lot of options.

[Shoeless]

Interesting rankings so far. As expected, generally the early picks are more consistent but once you get later in the first and all throughout the second round, there are a lot of options.

Yup - first 5 are pretty much a lock even if the order varies a little. Value clearly defined - and then the options kick in.

Interesting to note both these guys have Perry going in the 6 slot. Kinda have a hard time seeing Dats and Zetts going in the 2nd round, although there is an argument for it.

[horrorfan]

Yup - first 5 are pretty much a lock even if the order varies a little. Value clearly defined - and then the options kick in.

Interesting to note both these guys have Perry going in the 6 slot. Kinda have a hard time seeing Dats and Zetts going in the 2nd round, although there is an argument for it.

Yep - I'm curious how people will value those players who had amazing seasons (perhaps a career one) and those who were quite underwheming, but still have plenty in the tank left for a rebound. I don't think there are many poor picks that early though, as it depends on strategy and how it's followed it up in the next few rounds.

I still have a few strategies for my pick at 9 depending on who's chosen from 6-8 and then going forward. Who knows who will be picked between then and pick 20. Should be exciting.

[DerekReese]

Here is my prediction:

Pick - Round 1 - Round 2
1 - Stamkos - Smith
2 - Malkin - Kessel
3 - Crosby - Fleury
4 - Giroux - Miller
5 - Tavares - Schnieder
6 - Ovechkin - Howard
7 - Quick - Landeskog
8 - Lundqvist - D. Sedin
9 - Kovalchuk - Karlsson
10 - Perry - Kiprusoff
11 - Neal - Price
12 - Rinne - Letang
13 - Parise - Rask
14 - Fleury - Hartnell

[Shoeless]

Yep - I'm curious how people will value those players who had amazing seasons (perhaps a career one) and those who were quite underwheming, but still have plenty in the tank left for a rebound. I don't think there are many poor picks that early though, as it depends on strategy and how it's followed it up in the next few rounds.

I still have a few strategies for my pick at 9 depending on who's chosen from 6-8 and then going forward. Who knows who will be picked between then and pick 20. Should be exciting.

Same for me at 10, Brandon. Those mid round picks starting at 6 really do need to be read - have a pretty good idea of what I would like to do, if the draft allows it.

[Shoeless]

Here is my prediction:

Pick - Round 1 - Round 2
1 - Stamkos - Smith
2 - Malkin - Kessel
3 - Crosby - Fleury
4 - Giroux - Miller
5 - Tavares - Schnieder
6 - Ovechkin - Howard
7 - Quick - Landeskog
8 - Lundqvist - D. Sedin
9 - Kovalchuk - Karlsson
10 - Perry - Kiprusoff
11 - Neal - Price
12 - Rinne - Letang
13 - Parise - Rask
14 - Fleury - Hartnell

I like this forecast - Horrorfan going without a goalie into the 3rd round. Oh yeah.

[NoWayOut]

have a pretty good idea of what I would like to do, if the draft allows it.

To paraphrase Helmuth von Moltke "No plan survives contact with the enemy". That applies to pretty much every fantasy draft I've ever taken part in. Then again I don't see our draft, I'm assuming this pertains to Rocky Horror, being as wildly erratic as most of the ones I'm used to taking part in.

I've got my first two rounds mapped out barring surprises, after that I have multiple plans of attack ready to account for changes in the flow of the draft.

[Shoeless]

To paraphrase Helmuth von Moltke "No plan survives contact with the enemy". That applies to pretty much every fantasy draft I've ever taken part in. Then again I don't see our draft, I'm assuming this pertains to Rocky Horror, being as wildly erratic as most of the ones I'm used to taking part in.

I've got my first two rounds mapped out barring surprises, after that I have multiple plans of attack ready to account for changes in the flow of the draft.

Fabulous quote - so, so true. I agree that with the talent in our pool, things are likely to be less erratic but we all have our little foibles that we have to work hard to keep in check. Pretty hard to avoid going off the board on occassion for the can't miss guy that in fact ends up missing (witness Shoeless and Jeff Carter in this league last year - yuck!)

Well, regardless of how well or poorly I draft - I love drafting - the adrenalin pump gets going and it's a fun ride. Now if I can just find that bottle of self-control pills to ward off the dread lurgies.

[horrorfan]

I like this forecast - Horrorfan going without a goalie into the 3rd round. Oh yeah.

No way you'll see me with Kovalchuk and Karlsson after two rounds.

[NoWayOut]

Fabulous quote - so, so true. I agree that with the talent in our pool, things are likely to be less erratic but we all have our little foibles that we have to work hard to keep in check. Pretty hard to avoid going off the board on occassion for the can't miss guy that in fact ends up missing (witness Shoeless and Jeff Carter in this league last year - yuck!)

Well, regardless of how well or poorly I draft - I love drafting - the adrenalin pump gets going and it's a fun ride. Now if I can just find that bottle of self-control pills to ward off the dread lurgies.

I know where your coming from about drafting. It's a rush and occasionally even if you've drafted well the season itself is like the crash after a high.

We'll see how this goes, I'm really pumped for it.

[horrorfan]

I know where your coming from about drafting. It's a rush and occasionally even if you've drafted well the season itself is like the crash after a high.

We'll see how this goes, I'm really pumped for it.

I'm really looking forward to it. I agree it's quite the rush, and I hope nothing happens to my internet connection (laptop + mobile broadband). I usually try to get on once it allows us (30 minutes before) as it's good having time to chat with others before it starts.

Funny how the three of us on this thread are picking next to each other in the draft.