Originally Posted by
Skin Blues
For a little bit of something outside the box, you can look at home team advantages for hits and blocks. They're very subjective arena to arena. You can apply multipliers to players that are changing teams. A big one to note is Steve Ott. Dallas players had a ton of hits called at home versus on the road. Ott's move to Buffalo, who is much more conservative in giving out "hits", will drop his hits total by ~44 based solely on changing his home arena. This is based on his 308 full season pace last season, divided by Dallas' multiplier of 1.08 and multiplied by Buffalo's multiplier of 0.93
Multipliers (based on 50% influence of home arena and 50% influence of neutral arena which represents 41 home games and 41 away games respectively):
Team, Hits, Blocks
CHICAGO, 1.20, 0.95
PHOENIX, 1.15, 1.03
FLORIDA, 1.13, 0.98
TORONTO, 1.11, 1.13
WASHINGTON, 1.11, 1.03
DETROIT, 1.09, 0.93
DALLAS, 1.08, 1.12
LOS ANGELES, 1.06, 0.92
VANCOUVER, 1.06, 1.05
PHILADELPHIA, 1.06, 1.01
COLUMBUS, 1.05, 0.92
ANAHEIM, 1.04, 1.01
NY ISLANDERS, 1.03, 1.02
OTTAWA, 1.01, 1.01
WINNIPEG, 1.00, 0.96
SAN JOSE, 0.99, 1.11
TAMPA BAY, 0.99, 1.02
MONTREAL, 0.99, 1.12
NY RANGERS, 0.97, 1.01
BOSTON, 0.95, 0.91
CAROLINA, 0.94, 1.09
BUFFALO, 0.93, 0.93
PITTSBURGH, 0.92, 1.06
NASHVILLE, 0.91, 0.94
ST LOUIS, 0.91, 1.00
COLORADO, 0.90, 1.00
MINNESOTA, 0.89, 0.93
EDMONTON, 0.86, 1.13
NEW JERSEY, 0.86, 0.77
CALGARY, 0.83, 0.91
Hits show more of a variation than blocks, but both are significant in some cases. New Jersey is extremely stingy in giving out blocked shots to their players, and Chicago will give their players a hit if they so much as makes a mean face at an opposing player.
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