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-   -   Trade/final keeperSpot (http://forums.dobbersports.com/showthread.php?t=144438)

ddp 01-29-2013 04:23 PM

Trade/final keeperSpot
 
Would you guys in an offseason move Kris Medlen AND a guy I will drop Josh Johnson for Maddy Bumgarner?
Is he an upgrade on Medlen in your opinion?

Do you prefer Jered Weaver instead?
thanks

spitball 01-29-2013 08:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ddp (Post 1073391)
Would you guys in an offseason move Kris Medlen AND a guy I will drop Josh Johnson for Maddy Bumgarner?
Is he an upgrade on Medlen in your opinion?

Do you prefer Jered Weaver instead?
thanks

of the three, i prefer medlen. weaver's peripherals are in a free fall. something seems wrong with his elbow. also, i am leery of bummer's sept. he throws lots of sliders, which is another red flag. at least medlen is healthy and on a team that appears ready to contend. and has a great bullpen.

agree with your plan to drop/trade JJ.

ddp 01-30-2013 12:20 PM

Medlen:
THe positives:
1 - His stats were unreal.
2 - He's an NL pitcher meaning more K's without the DH.
3 - He's on a contender and ace of the staff it appears.
The negatives and only reason I'm not 100% happy to keep him
1 - 28yrs old isn't a big deal but he's an older breakout.
2 - He was an RP, meaning will he have the stamina to pitch 200 inns?
3 - had a very high strand rate...left a lot on the bases. (lucky)
4 - Pretty well unproven in a full season.

HOOTIE 01-30-2013 01:21 PM

Bumgarner by a lot for me, and i love Medlen.

Bumgarner
Medlen
weaver

spitball 01-30-2013 01:28 PM

i don't think medlen will give you 200 innings.
i do think his ratio will be elite.
as an under-sized RH pitcher, i think he will always be an injury risk.
i think that risk is mitigated by his repertoire; four pitches which rely and accuracy and movement. his plus plus change. no slider.
he has one of MLB's best bullpens working behind him, which helps explain the elevated strand rate, and give confidence in predicting plus wins.
he is a risk, but less risky in some ways than weaver or bummer.

i am really concerned about bummer's elbow. the september loss of velocity and control, coupled with the high % of sliders he throws, i see a red flag. hopefully nothing.

over the last few seasons, weaver has shown a marked decline in his peripherals. 2012 K/9 a career low. three year upswing in siera, peaking at 4.02. babip, .241 in 2012, suggests his <3 era was somewhat lucky. critical #; he's lost 2 mph off all his FB's. every spring, he explains that the elbow soreness he experiences, is 'normal'.

taken all together, i think this is a good time to stand pat.

dmvincent 01-30-2013 08:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by HOOTIE (Post 1074109)
Bumgarner by a lot for me, and i love Medlen.

Bumgarner
Medlen
weaver

I second this list.

ddp 01-30-2013 09:10 PM

2 for bummy and one for Medlen...I'm no closer to a decision:(
Others I could target: scherzer, latos, greinke, sale, Gonzalez,wainwright,cueto, Halladay.

HOOTIE 01-30-2013 11:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ddp (Post 1074502)
2 for bummy and one for Medlen...I'm no closer to a decision:(
Others I could target: scherzer, latos, greinke, sale, Gonzalez,wainwright,cueto, Halladay.

Bumgarner
Wainwright
Greinke
Medlen
Sale

I like Medlen, but i take Bumgarner/Wainwright/Greinke in a second for him.

ddp 01-31-2013 09:28 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by HOOTIE (Post 1074618)
Bumgarner
Wainwright
Greinke
Medlen
Sale

I like Medlen, but i take Bumgarner/Wainwright/Greinke in a second for him.

You aren't concerned about the above post about bummy's slider and elbow? He did slow down big time at end of year.

Bristol 01-31-2013 09:54 AM

I read an article last year about how the slider is the hardest pitch on the elbow and leads to the most TJ surgeries.


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