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The "Other" Rookie QB - Russell Wilson
http://blog.playnow.com/nfl-the-othe...ussell-wilson/
My profile of the impressive QB in Seattle - Wilson is probably due for a slight regression, but he has been a massive revelation over past month or two. Bright future ahead. Quote:
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He's been one helluva nice surprise this year, and has exceeded expectations thus far. But....and this is more my gut than any statistical analysis....I believe of the three (he, RG and Luck), Wilson is more apt to experience a regression next year. Call it a sophmore slump or whatever label you want.
I'm just not convinced he has the raw talent Luck and RG possess in order to be a long term success. Furthermore, I place him in the category of QBs that coaches - having a years-worth of film to dissect - will be able to scheme against with continual success. He has the heart and drive that any coach would be proud to have in all of his players, but that only gets you so far in this league (ask Flutie). Yes, Flutie had a nice NFL career but he was limited. By extension their coaches are too. |
I don't know what it is about this guy but I really don't believe he will have a regression next year. There are certain QB's that don't have that elite talent level and in theory should be easier to plan against once enough film is collected. But there are always those guys that thrive in spite of their short comings (no pun intended). Like Montana and Brady before him, this kid has "it".
This years rookie class may shape up to be the best the NFL has ever offered. With the three mentioned already plus the not mentioned enough, Tannehill. |
and Weeden.
EDIT: Lets not forget Gabbert either! |
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haha, I wish we could include gabbert but he's from the year 2011 draft class |
ah true...my bad! Had to be a reason to keep him out!
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volume
The problem with Wilson is the lack of volume. He has only thrown 30 or more passes 3 times this season. Even with the proverbial handcuffs taken off, he simply does not throw the ball enough to reach QB1 (top 12) status in any given week.
Maybe that changes next season, but for now the Seahawks would much prefer to keep Wilson in the 20-30 range for pass attempts and continue using Marshawn Lynch as the primary engine of the offense. That's the biggest difference between Wilson and the "big three" of RG3, Luck, and Tannehill. The offense runs through those three guys which is what you want in you fantasy QB |
Yep - I see Wilson being more valuable in real life than fantasy - many examples of players like that in sports.
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